CHASE CASE #2

[Dean Baron]

Sitting tight in Seiling, OK. Center of the low looks like it's in northeast NM and right on the border of TX. Assuming that it moves ENE like I think it will I should be in good position. Vis sat. shows clouds clearing out to my west with some clouds throughout the day. Either way, I feel I am in good position with good road options. The downside is there arent many places to eat in Seiling. If initiation occurs this far south I will probably have to head west to intercept but I would much rather intercept from the east than play catchup from the west. Future data may encourage me to move, but right now I will sit in SEILING, OK.

 

[Randall Cooper]

Ok, Ive decided to go for the Northern Target! If this was a real chase, I would be considering my options, If I chase the northern play than I can just follow the storms east right back home. I am leaving Emporia and will be to my new target of Beatrice, NE around 1:00 PM to look at new updated data.

 

[Jacob Ferden]

In the real world, I haven't had the chance to drop in.

Anywho, I decided to stick to my guns in AMA for now. Looks like a great Panhandle chase opportunity. I may head a bit south along I-27, in the hopes that a good show could get going between Amarillo and Lubbock, and (based on my projected storm motions) get a bit of kick start as it nears the Caprock.

 

[Greg McLaughlin]

I thought I recognized this day, so I couldn't resist looking to see if I was right. I have to sit the rest of this one out. Good chase case Matt.

 

[Scott Hammel]

I too like the dryline play and am now on the road out of Guymon heading to Amarillo.

 

[David Wolfson]

The dryline so far west makes me nervous about waiting near the OK border. I'll take the freeway to Plainview, TX, and digest the 18Z data with lunch.

 

[Wes Carter]

I'm going to head West on 62 and drive about 2-3 hours to pick up 83 North of Childress.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

I'm at Super 8 Amarillo-central having breakfast with my laptop, while looking at the 16Z Spc discussion. It looks a very nice setup, especially in Tx Panhandle. I'm considering to move a little bit north east towards Pampa,Tx. But it's still early, I'm half asleep and I'll stay here for a while. I'm gonna take my decision based on 18Z surface analysis.
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[Matt Gingery]

18Z DATA​

VISIBLE SATELLITE

CONUS: http://i50.tinypic.com/2ic9rtg.jpg

MIDWEST: http://i45.tinypic.com/1zmids3.jpg

N PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/2mgtnq8.jpg

SURFACE PLOTS:

CENTRAL ROCKIES: http://i50.tinypic.com/b8moah.gif

MIDWEST: http://i49.tinypic.com/3521xcp.gif

N PLAINS: http://i45.tinypic.com/2nlxsls.gif

S PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/6ihc1d.gif

UPPER MIDWEST: http://i47.tinypic.com/fc72g0.gif

RADAR COMPOSITE

MIDWEST: http://i48.tinypic.com/32zt06s.gif

N PLAINS: http://i45.tinypic.com/2rhntyf.gif

S PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/1rp4ll.gif

18Z SYNOPTIC: http://i45.tinypic.com/24xi749.gif

WAYFARING MAP: http://www.wayfaring.com/maps/show/60497

 

[Jacob Ferden]

Based off the 18z data, am thinking more of a northwesterly move will be needed. Currently getting ready to reposition to Dalhart to catch up with the DL and to be closer to the TP.

 

[Michael O'Keeffe]

We have continued west through Clinton after seeing the 16z and had a quick lunck before heading west into the TX Panhandle. We are now near Amarillo but will blast south towards Plainview, TX hoping to get there before 21z.

 

[Verne Carlson]

Still hanging out in Childress, TX but might drift a little west to get away from town and get on a good caprock hilltop for viewing.

 

[James Wilson]

There really is not much in this town of Liberal, KS. but me.

 

[jaredleighton]

Looks like the Triple point has moved further north than I expected, and I'm out of position for that play. So I'll continue to watch the dry line and move westward out of Woodward, OK and set up in Liberal, KS. I should be getting there around the time of initiation.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

I'm a bit concerned about two possible targets, the one in Tx Panh and the other one in SC Ks. Anyway it's time to take a decision and I decide to join O'Keffees heading for Plainview,Tx where I see a nice moisture combined with nice veering, witha not bad T/Td. Hope in a Caprock show later in the afternoon. Wouldn't it be bad if we had a special 18Z sounding in that area.
I'm looking at the radar image and I see there's something to my north-east. I wait 15 minutes before departure and see if it's developing something interesting near Canadian.