CHASE CASE #2

[Matt Gingery]

0Z DATA EVENING BEFORE EVENT​

* THERE WILL BE A SPC CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FOR 06Z POSTED THIS EVENING.

*FULL 12Z DATA WILL BE POSTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON. . .

*YOU ARE ALLOWED TO REQUEST ADDITIONAL DATA. . .

*GOOD LUCK!!

*THOSE WITH SUCCESSFULL INTERCEPTS RECIEVE STEAK DINNER!
*THOSE WITH UNSUCCESSFULL INTERCEPTS RECIEVE FUNNEL CAKES!

UPPER AIR CHARTS

300MB: http://i46.tinypic.com/2lo2fd5.gif

500MB: http://i48.tinypic.com/330fl1z.gif

700MB: http://i49.tinypic.com/2eowr2b.gif

850MB: http://i50.tinypic.com/i2qb8w.gif

SOUNDINGS

ABIRDEEN SD: http://i46.tinypic.com/juj1if.gif

AMARILLO: http://i46.tinypic.com/2i0t1c0.gif

DALLAS: http://i45.tinypic.com/28ic42c.gif

DEL RIO: http://i48.tinypic.com/2zgxlp3.gif

DENVER: http://i45.tinypic.com/r86u75.gif

DODGE CITY: http://i45.tinypic.com/r86u75.gif

OKLAHOMA CITY: http://i49.tinypic.com/eu366t.gif

SPRINGFIELD MO.: http://i50.tinypic.com/2v3sdbd.gif

SPRINGFIELD ILL: http://i46.tinypic.com/2utgv49.gif

TOPEKA: http://i46.tinypic.com/2utgv49.gif

SURFACE PLOTS

MIDWEST: http://i50.tinypic.com/2z8qo0p.gif

CENTRAL ROCKIES: http://i50.tinypic.com/2jgqqo.gif

N PLAINS: http://i45.tinypic.com/29gbu6p.gif

S PLAINS: http://i49.tinypic.com/2ppwyyx.gif

UPPER MIDWEST: http://i50.tinypic.com/122oprb.gif

0Z SYNOPTIC: http://i45.tinypic.com/2nuosi.gif


WAYFARING: http://www.wayfaring.com/maps/show/60497

 

[Dean Baron]

LOL gotta love seeing dews in the 30's. I'll sit in Kansas City and wait to see what the cold front does. I'm thinkin probably have to head to OK at some point but Kansas City is a good halfway point between northern and southern targets.

 

[David Wolfson]

Looks like a pretty standard south Plains dryline - southwest flow setup. I'd want to be a bit south of where the front stalls and just north of the upper jet. So I'm bedding down in Sayre, OK.

 

[Skip Talbot]

Well, I'd like to see how that cold front is tracking. There's a triple point south of Dodge City, KS and given the broad zonal flow and mediocre low level flow, that's probably moving east or not much at all. Either way, I'd like to head in that direction towards the warm sector. I'm leaving Chicago and heading down 55 towards St. Louis. I'll overnight just west of the city and figure out if I want to take 70 or 44 in the morning. It looks like southern KS or OK based on where the triple point is now. There is a trough forming over the Rockies and I'd like to see how far that digs into the southern plains and where the cold front gets pushed to by morning.

 

[Patrick Kerrin]

May not have time to update later, but from the 00z data I think that this might be a retreating dryline.

With the tight Td gradient, may look favorable for a Dryline day from SW KS possibly down as far sounth as the Permian.

I'd stay in AMA.

 

[Andrew Pritchard]

Well, I'm still comfortable in Amarillo after busting in the southern plains all alone yesterday so I think I'll stay here another night. Amarillo, TX it is until tomorrow morning.

 

[Patrick Martin]

Let's see...southwest flow aloft, digging trough, retreating dryline....I'll bed down in Amarillo TX in the hopes of being in good position for a classic caprock event tomorrow.

 

[Wesley Luginbyhl]

I think I will stay at home in Borger, TX till I see something to make me move. With upper 60-70 dp sitting just off the caprock SE of Lubbock, the caprock should light up tomorrow.

 

[Danny Neal]

From Chicago I am making the 13 hour drive to Wichita, KS, to stay at my buddy Mike's house and to re-evaluate after a catnap in the morning. W OK and E TX Pan is what I am thinking at this point in time early on.

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

OMA to OKC, find the Steak 'n Shake in Edmond, then get to the Fairfield Inn across from OU and the NSSL. See if Shane wants to take a run over to Moore Liquor for Mickey Ultra, then shoot a few photos of the red-and-white oil pumps on the east side of I-35.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Love this cases, Matt Too bad I've worked hard in the last days and I couldn't take part to case 1, but now I'm ready to go with this one.
Trying to perceive the trajectory of the trough I think Tx Panhandle could be a nice spot to start up, so I will say Amarillo.
Have a nice chase, guys.

 

[Matt Gingery]

GOOD THAT YOU CAN JUMP IN ANDREA!! IT HAS BEEN SINCE LAST YEAR THAT WE CHASED TOGETHER VIRTUALLY. YOU HAVE NOW JOINED THE PARTY IN AMARILLO.

 

[Jeremy Perez]

Matt, thanks very much for putting these together. Could you place me in Lubbock, TX? (I'm keeping my long and poorly formed musings about the chase: here.)

 

[Jason Bolt]

Driving now out to the in-laws place just west of ICT an hour or so. Good place to have a few cold ones tonight and see what I think in the morning.

 

[CZandbergen]

Leaving Tulsa heading for Shamrock TX for the night. Not sure what is going to happen with moisture return, but I want to give myself the option of running south of I40 tomorrow.

Hand analysis of my target area can be found here: http://ke5zol.blogspot.com/2009/12/chase-case-2-0z.html