Chase Case 5

[Charles Kuster]

0Z Data ​

I thought I would try posting my first chase case. If there is any other info you want let me know and I will try to post it. Here is 0Z data for the night before the chase day. This is a relatively small data set designed simply to give everyone a general picture of the atmosphere and allow you to position for tomorrow’s event. I will post a more comprehensive 12Z update, including satellite, radar, etc. sometime tomorrow. Good luck!

Upper Air
300mb: http://i45.tinypic.com/1zxtq34.jpg
500mb: http://i47.tinypic.com/n6pap2.jpg
700mb: http://i47.tinypic.com/2uzosgl.jpg
850mb: http://i45.tinypic.com/2hoa16g.jpg

Surface maps
Central plains: http://i47.tinypic.com/10ihqat.jpg
Midwest: http://i50.tinypic.com/11h5c12.jpg
Northern plains: http://i50.tinypic.com/dyvuhc.jpg
Southern plains: http://i46.tinypic.com/34np17r.jpg

Soundings
Amarillo: http://i45.tinypic.com/2wns9jd.jpg
Dodge City: http://i49.tinypic.com/4gjkuo.jpg
Minneapolis: http://i47.tinypic.com/rlhzt5.jpg
Omaha: http://i47.tinypic.com/ic64hd.jpg
Topeka: http://i46.tinypic.com/ixdqxh.jpg
Springfield: http://i50.tinypic.com/mrty75.jpg
Rapid City: http://i45.tinypic.com/10hjbte.jpg
Dallas/Fort Worth: http://i48.tinypic.com/30jrx9d.jpg
Lincoln, IL: http://i49.tinypic.com/2sbvbte.jpg
North Platte: http://i47.tinypic.com/2i9s6f9.jpg
Little Rock: http://i47.tinypic.com/n6xir.jpg

Wayfaring Map: http://www.wayfaring.com/maps/show/60590 (not sure if this is working)

 

[MatthewCarman]

I will head to Salina, Kansas for now.

 

[Scott Hammel]

I'm going to head out of Denver up 76 to I-80 and stay overnight in North Platte, NE. I have a feeling this could be a N. Plains type of setup. Thanks for getting another one of these going!

 

[Connor McCrorey]

I'm concerned about how backed those upper levels will be so I'm inclined to stay south, but I want to get north under those nice cool H5 temps... I'll head to Oakley, KS, for now. Should have plenty of time to get in position tomorrow from there.

 

[Bob Hartig]

North Platte, NE, for me. Can't believe they're letting me drive after that last chase.

Charles, thanks for bringing another scenario on board so swiftly!

 

[Matt Gingery]

After looking at the sounding at home I don't like the veering winds at the SFC, as well as much of eastern Kansas. I will hedge just a nudge and hang out in Oklahoma City and wait for the next data update. I am geared to head into the Salina, Ks area, but I am a dryline freak. The 300mb UA chart shows the majority of the energy poised to streak through the central and northern plains region, so I am going to split the difference and keep SW & W Kansas in play. The data is pointing to a start in Salina, to target a play in SW Nebraska and NW & W Kansas. CAPE in AMA at 1500j/kg range and higher, and I cannot ignore that. I feel the trough should dig far enough south to trigger a descent event in W Ok., and Tx Panhandle. 700mb UA is hinting at possible Lee cyclogenisis taking shape over my target area. I will be at the Comfort Inn in Norman, Ok.

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

Packing up the car, and Concordia, KS looks decent. I'll probably wind up a little west, but I'll want to be near wi-fi around noon.

 

[Shane Adams]

I'll hang out here in NRH and look again in the morning.

 

[jaredleighton]

Gonna learn my lesson from the last case and get in better position on day one. Gonna head out from Lawrence and make my way to Colby, KS. I think the play will be in the western part of Nebraska in the Ogallala area. But for now it's Colby.

 

[Wesley Luginbyhl]

I will go with North Platte, NE for now to keep my options open.

 

[scott r currens]

I'm heading to Goodland, KS for the night.

 

[Patrick Kerrin]

Wow, looks like that Mid-UA short wave Trof may go negative tilt!

Do they have accommodations near Brady, NE??

P.S. The warm 700mb Ts in W TX/NC Co and especially NW NM bear watching! Will be watching advection with this event...

 

[Bob Hartig]

The warm 700mb Ts in W TX/NC Co and especially NW NM bear watching! Will be watching advection with this event...

Agree. I don't know how that'll play out tomorrow, but I've had several cap busts this year and I'm wary. I feel good about northwest KS on up, and I'm thinking lapse rates will be steeper to the north as the H5 trough moves in.

 

[JHardy]

Hi all! I am a noob to this site and a noob to chasing. I am a storm spotter but I have not chased any storms but have followed along the last three chases. As such alot of what I do is guessing. I kind of can figure out upper air charts and soundings but I am lost with skew T charts. So my starting location is Colby KS. I think the storms might be a bit farther north but I will stay here for the night. Lets see what happens.

 

[Greg McLaughlin]

Put me down for Salina, KS for the night. I too am not sure if I am going to play the northern or southern target.