It looks like there's a good chance things will heat up again beginning early next week. Decent moisture looks to work its way back onshore and north of the Red River probably late Sunday or Monday. The medium range models are all pointing at a low-amplitude trough from the sub-tropical jet working its way across the southwest US early to midweek next week. Although the mid level flow doesn't exactly look spectacular, it is still past 100 hours, so details can change. Also, you don't always need a big trough with 50+ kts at 500 mb to get a decent severe weather event. After that, with a decrease in predictability in mind, it looks like the polar jet will become more active with disturbances crossing the northern US.
While the next 7-14 days don't exactly look great, having an active sub-tropical jet and a long period of moisture return can't be a bad thing. I'm not saying there's a sleeper outbreak waiting to surprise us, but as long as you have storms, there's always a chance. Hell, just looking at the accumulated precip from the GFS and FIM next week makes me smile. If nothing else, the drought situation looks to continue to improve across the hardest hit areas of W OK and TX PH/NW TX.
