Chase Case #2

I'm not terribly concerned with my position in Childress. Things look decent to the north, obviously in south-central Nebraska, but I still have concerns over limited moisture and instability to work with. A handful of storms may cluster along the triple point and ride the warm front. If one or two can stay descreet, they could tap into the moisture and instability and with the amount of shear go gangbusters... BUT... I'm down in Childress, so I play the hand I'm dealt.

I think I'm pretty happy with where I'm at actually. Visible satellite shows a hint of some CU building in the panhandle of TX, and Infrared supports that with some very cold cloud tops there. The dryline/cold front is VERY sharp with a ton of instability and moisture on the warm sector side. I'm going to reposition 75 miles to Wheeler, TX on the east-central Texas Panhandle and watch things from there. I should be there by 2-230pm.
 
Headed North East from Hastings, NE just to keep ahead of things even though where I am I should be able to jump on anything in the I-80 corridor within about 45 minuets. Moving to Central City, NE to stay on the WF.
 
I'm going to sit tight in ICT for a while longer... I still like the combination of moisture, shear, instability and the approaching boundary from the west.
 
I think I will take a leisure drive northward from Emporia toward the NE. line. Mainly because I have a habit of picking slightly too far south on the original plotting. It is only about 100 miles, so I am in no rush yet.
 
Going to move even further north from Russel to Smith Center, might go east and north up to Red Cloud depending on what we see out there as far as development. Wanting to play just S and E of the Triple Point.....
 
Ok, got about what I expected from the 18z update.....so I'm haulin' butt southwest to Paducah, TX.
 
Well based of the 18z data...

I think my initial target of Hill City is just a little too far west. So with that said I'm gonna trot back east and go for Concordia Kansas. I see cooler 850mb temps (not much) , better mean layer CAPE, and winds at the surface there are out of the SE so there is a little bit better turning with height there.

Now if I could just find a gas station bathroom that didn't smell so bad I'll be on my way to Concordia where I should make it by 20z. Nope no luck...guess I'll find dirt road on the way. :)
 
Still on my way to Belleville, Kansas. More or less on the NE border. I still have a sneaking suspicion that NC KS might get into some fun so I really don't want to totally commit to the North in NE..... So by 21Z I will be hanging around Belleville, Kansas. Hopefully seeing the towers on the dryline go up to the western horizon
 
I'm pretty happy with my initial decision of Phillipsburg so I'll stick around until the next update. I still think extreme southern NE is looking best (maybe around Alma, NE) but I'll wait for the next update before heading north.
 
I'm thinking a better chance for supercells will develop north of my location in Ponca City, so I'm shooting over to I-35 and heading to McPherson,KS which is about 2 hr. 20 min. away.
 
Lets see..since I am in Medicine Lodge, KS I am going to head North up 281 to Red Cloud, NE and head east on 136 to Hebron and wait for the next update. I think I am going to target south eastern NE.
 
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