Chase Case #2

I've looked over the charts again and Dallas TX looks like a better place to be chasing, so I am Paying $400 and for a flight from Sioux Falls to Dallas TX, it will take 4:30 hours. I will also have to rent a car for when I get to Texas. So in 4.5 hours I will be in Dallas, TX


You moved?? CHICKEN!!!


I will be in Grand Island in 5 hours, I still think there will be storms where I am at now, but better chances where I am heading to
 
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Leaving Salina, KS. Funk, NE seems like a good direction to head, but not in a big hurry. This whole area seems pretty close, so I'd spend more time monitoring satellite for CU fields denoting the dry line...and try to stay about 20 miles east of it.
 
I'm moving from Russell, KS to Belleville, KS. (East on I70 to Salina and then north on 81). Keeping my head on a swivel in case there is initiation before I can get there.
 
There is not much convergence coming my way with my 12z start in Hays, so at 18z I'm heading north from Hayes up towards Holdrege and I-80 along the warm front.
 
Currently sitting in Smith Center, KS at 20Z and patiently biding my time as I await the next update. My thinking is that south central and southeastern NE is going to be the sweet spot today in/of the vicinity of the warm front, where shear is maximized and surface winds are most strongly backed.
I strongly suspect that once the 00z data comes in, I will be adjusting north into Nebraska towards the I-80 corridor on Highway 281 in order to get closer to the warm front, but I don't want to get suckered too far north, in case something fires further south ahead of the advancing TP.
 
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EDIT: Maybe it's not...I'll stay put for now and maybe drift a bit northward to Throckmorton, TX.

I am pretty sure I remember this day now and even saw several tornadoes on it. Funny how one map on here I remembered from this day, one isobar sparked the day.
 
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TARGET: Belleville, KS--Waiting on latest data and Vis Sat for CU fields--Tending to lean slightly south at this point

EDIT: Ok, found the 18Z data and am comfortable now between Belleville, KS and Hebron, NE...good road structure and not a bad spot to wait on more data
 
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Am going to stay put in Hastings NE ....things could be very good if we can get a nice supercell move east and ride the boundary. Deep layer shear looks very good and nice veering wind profiles all across C. Nebraska. I like the chances here or very close to here.
 
Glad I chose to hedge my bets instead of biting on my gut reaction of SW OK! From Medicine Lodge, I'll be flying NNE towards Concordia, hoping to arrive by 22z. Moisture return from 12z to 18z was quite impressive in this area, while the 18z LCL's down south are quite off-putting (and should only get worse with further afternoon heating).
 
Getting in late, so looking at the 18Z...

Beatrice to Hebron to York looks good. Any further west and that early morning cloud cover might not have burned off early enough. I'm liking the surface winds at Fremont, Columbus and Lincoln, and those are some sexy T/TD spreads.
 
I'm a little nervous about ditching my initial target attm, though the more obvious area is along the warm front as I originally figured it would be. I'm going to hang tight here at Kinsley, KS for a couple hours watching sat images, the sky, and the dryline progression before adjusting. The strength of the inversion should buy me at least a couple hours and still give me enough time to race 3+ hours north or a couple hours south before dark. Gotta love DST.
 
Alright, after hangin out in Wichita for lunch and to see the 18z update, i'm going to bite on the higher shear and tongue of instability wrapping up into SC NE. So, i'll head due north to Hebron, NE and wait there for initiation if it doesn't already start before I get there. Mapquest is telling me it takes 3hrs to get to Hebron so i'll be there around 21-22z just in time for the show hopefully.
 
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