Chase Case #2

[Patrick Martin]

Aargh, pretty certain I am to far south and west. The triple point appears to be riding the KS/NE border and should continue to pull up better moisture so I'm hoping for a play along the hwy 81 corridor between Grand Island and Concordia.

I am on the move north and then east working to reach hwy 81 in Hebron NE by 4pm CT.

Edit: On second thought, I still believe I am to far south, but don't want to panic to far east just yet. The triple point is moving east, there appears to be a dry punch coming north out of SW KS, and dews should continue to rise in the area to my east and in the area closer to the WF. I'm still moving north, as I can be in Red Cloud NE in 2hrs (3pm CT) which will give me plenty of options to continue up 281 towards Hasting & Grand Island or east on 136 towards Hebron.

New Target: Red Cloud NE

 

[Charles Kuster]

I am now racing north from Great Bend and am heading for Grand Island, Nebraska.

 

[Dick McGowan]

Hey Chad, can you add either 250 or 300 mb (since you had it on the first one)?

 

[Scott Weberpal]

AHH...I need to blast north fast. In Guymon, OK can make Grand Island, NE by 00z averaging 71 mph, and have an hour and a half or so of sunlight left (assuming this is mid-spring). Hoping the 430 mile trek from Guymon at 18z to Grand Island at 00z is worth it, but I have no doubt in my mind at this point the northern target is the place to be as the sfc obs along the southern high plains are hot and mixing hasn't even fully commenced yet.

I'm a little worried about the cap further north, but looks breakable along the front by 00z. However, this could play in my favor if storms hold off until late evening.

 

[Skip Talbot]

Woah, the dryline blew past me pretty quick while I was in western KS. I'm blasting northeast up 56 to 81 north into Nebraska! Good shear along that warm front!

 

[Adam Lucio]

Given my location Im now blasting north on 183 to Phillipsburg where I should arrive around 21Z. From there Im thinking Im going to have to head east on 36....

I will stop in phillipsburg to check up on the 21z update and live conditions and base my move from there, to see If I should head north and hope the TP lights up, or If I want to go east and play the warm front.

Im hoping the cap can hold just a bit longer than progged.

 

[Nathan Edwards]

I think I'm in a good position in Hill City. I think I'm right on the dry line (*squints at the maps*) and I'll follow this north east if it overtakes me. I'm tempted to make the move North East now into Southern central Nebraska as it would be easier to drop down onto anything that forms south of here but in reality, staying in one place and concentrating on the data rather than driving around seems like a better option right now.

 

[Darin Brunin]

Damn...I guess there are no places to grab a meal in Holdrege. I will make the 20 minute trek to Elm Creek, get some grub, and hang out along I-80.

 

[Chad Cowan]

Hey Chad, can you add either 250 or 300 mb (since you had it on the first one)?

Done.

I'm going to be adding two MD's tomorrow morning and then the 0z update either tomorrow night or Sunday.

 

[Michael O'Keeffe]

Well after shortly after we got into Salina we checked the 18z data and we are now heading north to Kearney should be there around 20-21z with sometime to micro adjust.

 

[Brian Emfinger]

I will head north to Alva, OK for now but likely would head farther north later.

 

[David Wolfson]

Things just don't seem to be coming together in southern KS. Likewise at 18Z I bowed to ground truth and am heading north on US 183, passing through Hays at about 20Z, Phillipsburg at 21Z with muti-purpose stop, and Elm Creek about 22:30Z, if the 21Z data doesn't change the plan. For plotting purposes I'll call the 00Z target as Wood River, NE, just southwest of Grand Island.

 

[Matthew Harding]

I will be making the trek from Great Bend, KS to Belleville, KS to check data and make any subsequent changes from there.

 

[Bob Hartig]

I'm on my way to York, NE. Probably don't need to go into detail, and that's good, because I'm not in the mood. Let's put it this way: the maps for Chase Case #3 don't work for Chase Case #2, and vice versa. You definitely don't want to confuse the two.

 

[Michael P. Morris]

I'm going to move a little further north to Manhattan and make another data stop, perhaps continuing on to Beatrice to keep up with the lifting warm front. I'm looking for any cell that can ride right along that boundary, and the modeled storm motions look to favor that sort of scenario.