John Hudson
EF4
Absolutely correct, at least in my case. I call the high fiber stuff "nature's little brooms" for a good reason!
John
VE4 JTH
Future of the season part deux
- Thread starter Warren Faidley
- Start date
Absolutely correct, at least in my case. I call the high fiber stuff "nature's little brooms" for a good reason!
John
VE4 JTH
Adam Lucio
EF5
I am definitely a lazy chaser right now. In conditions such as these I park my ass on a chair infront of a lake with my cooler of beer on one side...BBQ grill on the other. Theres a fishing rod set infront of me with a bell on it that will go off in case I fall asleep from eating too much.
The lazy summer life is just as enjoyable to me, even though id rather be chasing
The lazy summer life is just as enjoyable to me, even though id rather be chasing
Jerry Prsha
EF4
Damn... I can imagine the Derecho caused from that thing!
Warren Faidley
Supporter
No doubt, someone will get too close, while speeding and using a light bar.
(;
W.
(;
W.
Andrew Stoller
EF5
Don't look at the 384 hour GFS!
Adam Lucio
EF5
Already did. I wont jump yet but if I start seeing consistency it could be a sign that an eventual breakdown will happen and well have 1 last good run.
Weve had record rains here all spring, so Im hoping that this will aid in evaportranspiration come summer and it could help fuel some fun things around here during NW flow.
Weve had record rains here all spring, so Im hoping that this will aid in evaportranspiration come summer and it could help fuel some fun things around here during NW flow.
Eric Bucsela
EF2
Cool - can't wait till May 30 when it shows up on the 144 hr ECMWF!
Bob Hartig
EF5
Yes, there's hope on the horizon. I'm not going to start making plans just yet, but it's nice to see some indication that this ugly ridge won't last forever. My eyes are looking toward June 3/4.
In response to a different thread--this, my friends, is one reason why us non-Tornado-Alley chasers keep our eyes on the long-term models. (And smear our faces with ritual paint, dance in circles, and sacrifice chickens.)
In response to a different thread--this, my friends, is one reason why us non-Tornado-Alley chasers keep our eyes on the long-term models. (And smear our faces with ritual paint, dance in circles, and sacrifice chickens.)
Andrew Stoller
EF5
May 30, 2010!
Actually, even in the 200 hour range, southwest flow begins showing up pretty far south, with some small shortwaves coming through, and the Bermuda high getting shoved to the south deeper into Mexico.
Heck, even out to 84 hours on the NAM, the classic Omega death ridge looking pattern is no longer present.
Joel Wright
EF5
Don't look at the 384 hour GFS!
Haha. This is like telling someone not to look at someone who just entered the room. You know that only makes you wanna look more.
There have been some subtle signs of a change around this time period so hopefully things will fall into place. We'll really be overdue by then for a nice setup.
Andrew Pritchard
EF5
Same here. Sucks for all the farmers in the area though, as the ground is so saturated that it takes nothing more than a passing rain to re-flood the fields. This gives me hope for when the true Ring of Fire / Death Ridge sets in and kills things off in the plains. We'll be sitting pretty with our usual 95F/80F with 6000 j/kg cape setups where it doesn't take much for a decent severe event. Course this is usually a few HP supercells with a sunset transition into a raging bow echo, but it beats nothing.
I think that's one of the only times being displaced from the "alley" has an advantage. Our season never really "ends" in June when things shut down out west. They're just lifted up and over the alley, and then back down towards the midwest along the heat dome.
mikegeukes
EF5
Updated 5-20-09
6 to 10 Day Outlook:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/index.php
8 to 14 Day Outlook:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
US Hazards Assessment:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
Mike
6 to 10 Day Outlook:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/index.php
8 to 14 Day Outlook:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
US Hazards Assessment:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
Mike
Eric Bucsela
EF2
On the 8-14 day CPC precip anomaly map (valid May 28 - June 3), the swath of green from TX, NM into CO looks like monsoonal moisture. Hey, wouldn't it be nice to see the red and blue switch places on the temperature anomaly map?
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