Chase Case #4 (2010 Version)

Yay, a PDS tornado watch... well I'm doomed to bust now. I'm going to take 70 west out of Wichita and head up 81 to Hebron, NE and wait for that line of cu over south central Nebraska to initiate.
 
Going to play in central OK for today, maybe souther KS. Dryline is buldging to the south though, so I'm definately going to stay close to that. Even though the winds aren't quite backed from the SE yet, I still like the ample moisture. Going to scoot over to Stillwater, OK to await initiation, which should be anytime soon now.
 
I think I am in good shape here in Beatrice, NE. Moisture and low level shear could be better, but stronger upper dynamis should move out over this area by late afternoon/early evening. Cu developing off to the west-southwest of my position not too far ahead of the triple point. This will probably be my play.

Of course, I can always shoot south into northeast KS if a storm ahead of the dry line bulge catches my eye;)
 
Staying Put and grabbing a bite to eat at McAlisters In Manhattan, KS Ready to go at anytime.
 
I think I'm going to drive--slowly--to Abilene, KS. I don't want to be stuck dodging traffic lights trying to go north through Manhattan. I agree with Nick, staying all day in Salina will test a man's patience :-)
 
21-22z Update:

SURFACE
IA/MO/IL area
NE/KS/OK area
TX/OK area

SATELLITE
IA/MO/IL area
NE/KS/OK area
TX/OK area

RADAR
SD/NE/IA area
NE/KS/OK area
ARKLATEX area

LIVE:

21zdayofliveKSNE.png


21zdayofliveOK.png




THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 424 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF MOLINE...OR 12 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SEDAN...AND MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
ELK FALLS...HOWARD...MOLINE
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
NORTHWESTERN WILSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
WESTERN WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 454 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF FALL RIVER...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF HOWARD.
DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING NORTH AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
FALL RIVER...TORONTO...YATES CENTER

LSRs


TOR
[SIZE=-1]2049[/SIZE]
[SIZE=-1]12 WNW HOMINY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]OSAGE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]OK[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3648[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9659[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] LOCATION APPROXIMATE WITH A BRIEF TOUCHDOWN (TSA)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2100[/SIZE]
[SIZE=-1] 5 SW MANCHESTER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]OTTAWA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3904[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9739[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] BRIEF TOUCHDOWN REPORTED (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2103[/SIZE]
[SIZE=-1] 9 SE BENNINGTON [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]SALINE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3894[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9748[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] BRIEF TOUCHDOWN REPORTED 3 MILES EAST OF NILES AT THE INTERSECTIONS OF 280TH AND ASPEN. SHED REPORTED DESTROYED. (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2111[/SIZE]
[SIZE=-1] MANCHESTER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]DICKINSON [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3909[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9732[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] REPORTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF MANCHESTER (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2114[/SIZE]
[SIZE=-1] 1 E LONGFORD [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CLAY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3917[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9731[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2124[/SIZE]
[SIZE=-1] 9 SW CLAY CENTER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CLAY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3928[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9724[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] REPORTED AT THE INSTERSECTION 9TH ROAD AND JAYHAWK AND KIOWA ROADS MOVING NORTH. (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2143[/SIZE]
[SIZE=-1] 2 W CLAY CENTER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CLAY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3938[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9716[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO TWO RESIDENTIAL HOMES. (TOP)[/SIZE]
WIND

[SIZE=-1]2004[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 62[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] STILLWATER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]PAYNE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]OK[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3612[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9706[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (OUN)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2139[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 60[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] RAMONA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]MARION [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3860[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9706[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH PEA HAIL. (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2139[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]UNK[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] CLAY CENTER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CLAY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3938[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9712[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] DEBRIS REPORTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF CLAY CENTER. (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2140[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 60[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 5 N HASTINGS [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]ADAMS [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4066[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9839[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED ON HWY 281. (GID)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2140[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]UNK[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 4 NNE DONIPHAN [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]HALL [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4083[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9834[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] SEMI BLOWN OVER AT MM 315 ON I-80 IN HALL COUNTY. (GID)[/SIZE]
HAIL

[SIZE=-1]2100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] CEDAR VALE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CHAUTAUQUA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3711[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9650[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 75[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 5 N HOLSTEIN [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]ADAMS [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4054[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9865[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (GID)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2104[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 75[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 4 N WEBSTER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]DAY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]SD[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4539[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9752[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (ABR)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2110[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 2 E GUIDE ROCK [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]WEBSTER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4007[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9829[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (GID)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2110[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 6 S SENECA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]THOMAS [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4196[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]10083[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (LBF)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2116[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]175[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] HAMBURG [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CARVER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]MN[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4473[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9396[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (MPX)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2117[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 1 N ROSALIA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]BUTLER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3783[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9662[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] ESTIMATED PENNY TO NICKLE SIZE HAIL. (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2120[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 3 W PANAMA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]LE FLORE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]OK[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3517[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9473[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (TSA)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2122[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 3 N JOSHUA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]JOHNSON [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]TX[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3251[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9738[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] PUBLIC GENERATED REPORT RELAYED BY SO (FWD)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2122[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]175[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 8 NE CEDAR VALE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CHAUTAUQUA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3719[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9640[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2125[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 5 SW HUTCHINSON [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]MCLEOD [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]MN[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4484[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9445[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (MPX)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2126[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] CROWLEY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]TARRANT [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]TX[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3258[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9736[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (FWD)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2126[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 75[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 5 W MONTEVIDEO [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]LAC QUI PARLE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]MN[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4495[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9582[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] COVERING GROUND. (MPX)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2133[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] CASSODAY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]BUTLER [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3804[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9664[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] THE GROUND WAS SEVENTY PERCENT COVERED. (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2133[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] ELBA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]HOWARD [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4128[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9857[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (GID)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2135[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 75[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 3 S SILVER CITY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CREEK [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]OK[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3605[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9649[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (TSA)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2135[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] MOLINE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]ELK [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3736[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9630[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2140[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] VAN BUREN [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CRAWFORD [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]AR[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3544[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9435[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (TSA)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2147[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 2 N CANEY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]MONTGOMERY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3704[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9593[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2150[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]175[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 3 N COTTONWOOD FALLS [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CHASE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3841[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9654[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] WINDOWS BROKEN OUT OF HISTORIC BUILDINGS WHICH ARE A PART OF THE TALLGRASS PRAIRIE PRESERVE. (ICT)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2150[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 2 NW ELSMERE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CHERRY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4218[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]10021[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND...LASTING 10 MINUTES (LBF)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2152[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 6 NE MORGANVILLE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]CLAY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3953[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9712[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2153[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 6 N HERINGTON [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]DICKINSON [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3876[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9694[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2156[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 88[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] ELBA [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]HOWARD [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4128[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9857[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (GID)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2158[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]100[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 5 NW WHITE CITY [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]MORRIS [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]KS[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]3885[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9680[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (TOP)[/SIZE] [SIZE=-1]2159[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 75[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] HOLDREGE [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]PHELPS [/SIZE][SIZE=-1]NE[/SIZE][SIZE=-1]4044[/SIZE][SIZE=-1] 9938[/SIZE][SIZE=-2] (GID)[/SIZE]
 
I'm kiddie corner to that cell in Jewell County, KS... I'm going to drop down 81 to 36 west on hope that cell. Hopefully the Salina storm won't interfere.
 
In full chase mode! Hopefully I got a glimpse of that brief tornado in Osage County. Currently on this beast of a storm in Osage county. These storms are RACING fast, so I might quickly bail on this storm once that storm near Chandler, OK matures.
 
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