Chase Case #4 (2010 Version)

[Dann Cianca]

18Z to 21Z is a big gap of time with the top about to blow in several areas. I still like where I am in SW Iowa and will probably hang tight for the moment, but if convection blows up nearby, I'm on it... hard to say where I'll be at 21Z given that it is three hours away.

Poetry, man. It's beautiful. <Sniff!>

Would you believe that was unintentional? ... poet and didn't even know it. Lol.

 

[Scott Hammel]

I'm going to drift ever so slightly S out of Salina toward the better moisture. I'll head down 35 to McPherson, KS and await later data.

 

[Jeff Duda]

Would you believe that was unintentional? ... poet and didn't even know it. Lol.

I'm pretty sure that was intentional. lul

 

[Chad Moore]

After chase case #3 I'm pretty relieved to be in a T-watch area for lunch. The surface low circulation seems to be moving ESE, bringing the backed winds with it and into the better moisture. I'm going to mosey from Bee-AH-trice, NE south toward Junction City, KS. From there I can either join the growing mob around Wichita/El Dorado/Salina and play with the Hutchison CuNimb, or shift toward Topeka or Hiawatha. I'd like to get my eyes on the sky to see if the convection will bust through the more stable air in NE Kansas. If the sky looks good, I'll just deviate east direct to Topeka, KS and watch the dewpoints carefully.

 

[Jacob Ferden]

Well, obviously, a three hour gap between updates is a long time. I like the situation along the CF / DL much better than up to the NE. I agree with Robert about the subsidence potential. I'm going to move from Wichita to El Dorado, KS to give myself an extra 30 miles ahead of the boundary, and be ready to move when things start to fire.

 

[Kevin Crawmer]

This is tough. I like where I am in Salina, but I can find a lot to the south and northeast of where I am. I think I'm gonna head east a few miles to Junction City and get a change of scenery.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

As of now I'm not liking too much the triple point, as I don't like dews up there. It's time to move right now and from Wichita I'm bound for McPherson, KS.

 

[Ben Tillotson]

I'll stay in Onawa for now. I have good road options so I can head south if anything happens there.

Edit: After seeing that line on Satellite to the SW I think I'll move slightly that direction to Fremont, NE.

 

[Josh VandenTop]

I'm too far north, gonna fly south out of Yankton and make the 2 hour 46 minute drive to be in York, NE for the 21z update.

 

[Bob Hartig]

I'm nudging down to Lincoln--not with any great conviction, just hedging my bets for 21Z. I see the crisper line of Cu's to the west stretching down into KS on satellite, but right now I'll hang east of them. Moisture could certainly be better, but it does seem to be improving. Now I kind of wish I'd played farther south, but I expected the low center to translate to the northeast, not the southwest. Okee-dokey, I opted for the northern play and I'll stick to my guns. After all, the area is in a PDS, though how that happened is beyond me. In real life, we'd have more model data for upper levels, and I think that would explain a lot. (Not complaining in the least, Jesse, just making note.)

 

[Patrick Martin]

Pretty obvious by mid morning, that with the surface low in wrn KS that I was to far west, so by 17z I was bidding DDC farewell and on the road heading east. Will grab a quick lunch on the go, and head to McPherson, KS and await the next suite of data.

 

[Ed Boik]

Heading west from my original target of Topeka to Junction City, KS

 

[Charles Kuster]

After checking the 18z data, I have decided to cut my unnecessary drive towards Iowa short and stop in Aurora, NE to wait for the 21z update.

 

[Brandon Jenkins]

Moving slightly NE to Florence, KS. Will be prepared to hop on any significant storms that fire between now and 21z.

 

[Jim Cross]

After arriving in Fairbury, Nebraska and checking the 18z data i see no need to change plans. I still think the dewpoints will be good enough for this area and will hang here for awhile.