Chase Case #2

I've followed the dry line east since my last position which has left me in North central Kansas. Ideally I now want to be heading north into the better shear, but I'm also tempted to latch onto whateer appears to be showing on vis sat in the Phillipsburg area. This cell would move into a more favourable area assuming the good shear doesn't move north also! :) I expect I'll be into Southern Nebraska before too long, either on this cell as it moves north east, or ditching it and playing catchup with some decent tor producers just out of reach in the area bounded by Grand Isle, Lincoln and Columbus, NE.
 
I'm liking my spot in Hebron and will just sit and wait here for initiation. Possible cu field going up to my northeast and maybe the first tower of the day to my west just south of the KS/NE border. Watch should be up around here soon. Playin the waiting game now.
 
S***, I second-guessed myself with everyone heading north for the northern play and didn't hold on to my original starting point of San Angelo, TX. I'm heading back south and west to Midland and will intercept these storms south of there as they are firing now. (BTW, I was thinking Throckmorton was in the eastern Texas Panhandle for some reason, but was mistaken!) The SPC jinx of a blue box can only mean good things for me. I hope I can make it in time...
 
Busting *** to the east into southern IA. Probably not going to make it....but it is my best shot from the location I am in. However, it will get me to the I-35 corridor and only 3 hours from home once I get there. :)
 
I'm going to stay put here in York, NE, for the time being and make my adjustments as things start to pop. No need to move till then. I like the dewpoints and LLJ where I'm at, and I can bump west in a heartbeat if and when I need to.
 
I'll set up shop near Kinsley, KS with several road options for adjustments to whatever the dry line and moisture axis do during the morning/early afternoon. A bit more CAPE further south, but the upper air support is further north. Like an idiot, I'll probably end up where neither exists.

Sitting here west of the dry line in indecision with only 3 hours until the 24z update and about 5 hours of daylight. I could get to southern NE in 3 hours or perhaps south towards Woodward within a couple of hours.

I think I'll resist the urge to fly northward in favor of a less crowded target. I'll finally leave my initial target of Kinsley and bail toward the Buffalo to Woodward to Arnett general area, depending on what I can see going on with the dry line convection. Again, my prediction was that I would get impatient, leave my target, and watch with horror as the cell I want goes up where I was before. But I think this is unlikely this day. It's more likely I miss the NE action.
 
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Been sitting in Red Cloud for a bit, and am going to drift north to Hastings to top off the gas, and wait on initiation. It's been a while since I've seen the O'Keefe's, so I'll stop and say hello if I see them.
 
I've been chilling out in Red Cloud for a little bit, but I'm going to jaunt Northward now to the warm-front/triple point-ish looking feature...I'm expecting development from Kearney to Alma sooner or later along the Triple Point/dryline. If the storms decide to latch onto the warm front, it could be Tornado city in the I-80 corridor area with the shear in place as well as increasing instability.
 
Just curious as to whether or not the wayfaring map is going to be updated for our later targets? Started in Guymon at 12z, but should be to the Grand Island area by 00z ;)
 
I am going to stay where I am in Hebron and hope it fires up to the NE of me.
 
I've decided to leave Smith Center, KS and have taken a 30 mile jaunt up Kansas Highway 8/Nebraska Highway 10 to Franklin, NE, placing myself about 20 miles east of the dryline/triple point intersection, which now appears to be roughly in the vicinity of Phillipsburg/Alma, judging by the highly agitated cu field which is developing on the KS/NE border area. Expecting cells will rapidly fire near the DL/TP intersection from Alma to Elm Creek, so I'm prepared to blast north on Highway 10 towards I-80. I have plenty of east/west road options between Franklin and I-80, so I can adjust either direction as necessary to intercept. I expect a tornado watch will be issued for extreme north central KS and all of south central NE shortly.
 
Got out of work late again ... haulin' ass across eastern Colorado. Hope to bee in Dodge City soon.
 
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