Tim Paitz
EF2
Before I go any further, I know there have only been a handful of El Nino events since the start of reliable record-keeping. Also, I know causation doesn't equal correlation. Like snowflakes, no two weather patterns are the same.
However, it's interesting to note that the 1982-1983 and 1997-1998 El Nino events were very strong ones and both produced tornadoes in central and southern Florida due to a stronger jet stream aloft over those areas at the time.
There was one small outbreak on March 17th, 1983 that produced a 53 mile long tornado (though that's up in the air due to the rather remote area of the everglades, it could've been a tornado family).
Then there was the outbreak on February 22nd, 1998. 3 F3s with 42 fatalities, one of the deadliest outbreaks in florida history and are among the strongest in Florida. Like in 1983, there was a strong jet stream aloft ahead of a cold front.
The same goes for Feburary 2nd, 2007. However, those storms weren't as discrete as 1998 but I remember there being constant lightning with those storms. 2006-2007 was also an El Nino year.
However, I'm not jumping to conclusions as to whether or not anything will happen later this winter, but it's something worth noting in that the jet stream usually dips considerably farther south during El Nino years, especially in stronger ones. Not always, but it usually happens.
However, it's interesting to note that the 1982-1983 and 1997-1998 El Nino events were very strong ones and both produced tornadoes in central and southern Florida due to a stronger jet stream aloft over those areas at the time.
There was one small outbreak on March 17th, 1983 that produced a 53 mile long tornado (though that's up in the air due to the rather remote area of the everglades, it could've been a tornado family).
Then there was the outbreak on February 22nd, 1998. 3 F3s with 42 fatalities, one of the deadliest outbreaks in florida history and are among the strongest in Florida. Like in 1983, there was a strong jet stream aloft ahead of a cold front.
The same goes for Feburary 2nd, 2007. However, those storms weren't as discrete as 1998 but I remember there being constant lightning with those storms. 2006-2007 was also an El Nino year.
However, I'm not jumping to conclusions as to whether or not anything will happen later this winter, but it's something worth noting in that the jet stream usually dips considerably farther south during El Nino years, especially in stronger ones. Not always, but it usually happens.