Thoughts about the upcoming 2015 chase season

[Jason Boggs]

Speaking for myself, I like to look at the crystal ball and speculate what might happen down the road. With the wintertime doldrums, at least it's something to do.

 

[Rick Schmidt]

I was wondering that as well, Shane about the F-2 funnel, and also what is an 'intense' funnel? I don't think I have seen one of those.

 

[calvinkaskey]

One that has accessory clouds associated with it. Well if the meso is rotating 40 mph and the t-storm is moving 40 mph you can do the math.

 

[calvinkaskey]

It was up online on youtube. Didn't get that many hits. I also have it posted on dailymotion. I took it off youtube becuase I was pissed that my phone was sending pictures online through google plus without me doing anything. Warning about dailymotion though, it seems like it gets hacked quite a bit. I've posted pics up on here from my computer but they have to be clicked on and are small.

Couple 'o things....

(1) I'd love to see your NC tornado video, is it online anywhere?

(2) What's an F2 funnel? How do you reach that conclusion and what are the criteria?

 

[Rick Schmidt]

One that has accessory clouds associated with it. Well if the meso is rotating 40 mph and the t-storm is moving 40 mph you can do the math.

Huh??????????????????

 

[Jason Boggs]

I'm not sure the F-2 funnel part was answered yet. It's impossible to rate a funnel since it's not in contact with the ground. Does the F-2 part mean something totally different that what is automatically assumed?

 

[calvinkaskey]

If the storm is moving 40 mph and the meso is rotation 40 mph I'm assuming that the funnel would have winds significantly above 80 mph. There was a fast moving updraft cloud in association with it.

 

[Jared Thompson]

There are lots of weak short lived tornadoes that aren't recorded. Ne pa had 4 tornadoes in an area of maybe a 6th or less of the area of pa. There were two in my county in N.Y. last year, one wasn't reported. I got 10 full minutes of tornado video in eastern NC last year. I might have gotten another tornado in W.V. but I got lost. I hit several tornado warnings in extreme southern Ohio, I might have seen something but I went into the woods, instead of being in an area of high visibility where I was at the time of the warning. You also don't have to go out west to get 70 mph winds from a t-storm or large hail. I was chasing two years ago and my house got hit with golfball-sized hail and I live in N.Y. lol. Two years ago I also got a video of what looks like an intense f-2 funnel cloud in N.Y.

If the storm is moving 40 mph and the meso is rotation 40 mph I'm assuming that the funnel would have winds significantly above 80 mph. There was a fast moving updraft cloud in association with it.

The fujita scale is a measure of damage done after a tornado not wind speeds.. in a funnel lol

 

[Mark Ellinwood]

I live in southeast PA (Philadelphia area). I head out to the Plains every year but don't do any local chasing here where I live. Sure, I keep tabs on the weather and get excited when we are under the gun. But chasing around here just isn't worth it - trees, hills, buildings, traffic, low clouds and haze... Not to mention that nothing much ends up happening most of the time. Primary severe mode is squall lines. I definitely don't spend any time on long range prognosticating for the local area, I just try to enjoy what I can if it's coming through my neighborhood. I won't drive any distances to position.

SE PA is actually pretty decent chase territory relative to the region, mainly in the greater Lancaster area. Not a whole lot of real estate, but if there's a decent threat in that area, I'll make the trip up. Gets harder late in the season when the crops on the rolling hills are at their tallest.

 

[Shane Adams]

It was up online on youtube. Didn't get that many hits. I also have it posted on dailymotion. I took it off youtube becuase I was pissed that my phone was sending pictures online through google plus without me doing anything. Warning about dailymotion though, it seems like it gets hacked quite a bit. I've posted pics up on here from my computer but they have to be clicked on and are small.

Could you just post it on youtube as a private video and include the link just for ST members who would be interested to see it?

 

[Michael Gavan]

For the lolz.

(96 hr rain Feb 3)

 

[Jeff Duda]

I'll add my contribution to this stuff:

MAJOR EXTREME SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK MAY 13! This WILL happen because CFS forecasts are NEVER wrong.
I'm amending my Jeff Duda official tornado count forecast for 2015 to 2,612.

 

[Ben Holcomb]

That is one nice weather dong.

 

[Caleb Grunzke]

I'm amending my Jeff Duda official tornado count forecast for 2015 to 2,612.

All of them on May 13

 

[James Gustina]

I'll add my contribution to this stuff:

MAJOR EXTREME SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK MAY 13! This WILL happen because CFS forecasts are NEVER wrong.
I'm amending my Jeff Duda official tornado count forecast for 2015 to 2,612.

Now I have to change mine to 2,613 to win all the marbles.