Dan Robinson
EF5
It feels a little strange posting this end-of-season recap thread on the same day as one of the better tornadoes of the decade in western Nebraska, but that's storm chasing for you. So, how was your season?
Despite logging 8 "stat-padder" tornadoes, it was a below-average spring for me. Of course, season quality is subjective from chaser to chaser - it all depends on if the days you chose to go out produce spectacularly, and even if they do, you still have to make all of the right decisions on those good days. That means one chaser can be having the season of their lives, while others are struggling. I did not come away with this season with a "wall hanger" tornado - but then again, I don't most years. The inverse of this was last year, when I added three all-time best tornado intercepts to my logs in a personal record-breaking season, one that not all chasers came away with great results in. I see my 2025 in that context, simply the law of averages playing itself out.
My big catch of the season was Grinnell, Kansas on the 18th, a close tornado experience with stark visuals and sound.
The big and defining event of the season for me, however, was missing the May 16 tornado in St. Louis. It was a monumental failure of a costly, decade-plus home target bias that hopefully I can just let go of now. The silver lining of it is that after forensically recapping that day, I just don't see a scenario where I could have reasonably seen it coming in time. Supercells (that appeared to be elevated) were entering the metro with a dewpoint of 52F at Lambert airport at 1PM. The DP at Scott AFB/MidAmerica had just shot up to 66F just prior to the tornado - which was the one thing that could have altered my day had I noticed it. Still, I expected the frontal zone to be in the southern Metro (south of I-270/I-255), oriented NE/SW with the storm of the day well north of it. Despite a couple of fake-out RFD surges, the storm appeared to have a dominant northeasterly motion that would pull it farther north away from the front. The only way I would have caught it is if I'd just parked downtown in the morning and sat there, an action that would have made no sense given the setup - under no scenario would I have done that with incipient supercells in the better environment to the east. In a nutshell, it was just an impossible situation that no other chasers saw coming either - so I'm not going to dwell on it much going forward.
I try to make it a practice to focus on the things to be thankful for, despite the misses. My season was free of major incidents or problems, and I *did* see 8 tornadoes. I didn't have to use up a lot of PTO to make my trips. My gear all performed like it's supposed to. Any year when I can get out there is a good one!
Spring 2025 totals:
Plains expedition trips: 2
Plains miles: 3,968
Plains days on the road: 5
Plains chase days: 4
Plains tornadoes: 3
Midwest tornadoes: 5
States covered: 4 (Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri Illinois)
I have all of my 2025 Plains season logs on my site here:
Despite logging 8 "stat-padder" tornadoes, it was a below-average spring for me. Of course, season quality is subjective from chaser to chaser - it all depends on if the days you chose to go out produce spectacularly, and even if they do, you still have to make all of the right decisions on those good days. That means one chaser can be having the season of their lives, while others are struggling. I did not come away with this season with a "wall hanger" tornado - but then again, I don't most years. The inverse of this was last year, when I added three all-time best tornado intercepts to my logs in a personal record-breaking season, one that not all chasers came away with great results in. I see my 2025 in that context, simply the law of averages playing itself out.
My big catch of the season was Grinnell, Kansas on the 18th, a close tornado experience with stark visuals and sound.
The big and defining event of the season for me, however, was missing the May 16 tornado in St. Louis. It was a monumental failure of a costly, decade-plus home target bias that hopefully I can just let go of now. The silver lining of it is that after forensically recapping that day, I just don't see a scenario where I could have reasonably seen it coming in time. Supercells (that appeared to be elevated) were entering the metro with a dewpoint of 52F at Lambert airport at 1PM. The DP at Scott AFB/MidAmerica had just shot up to 66F just prior to the tornado - which was the one thing that could have altered my day had I noticed it. Still, I expected the frontal zone to be in the southern Metro (south of I-270/I-255), oriented NE/SW with the storm of the day well north of it. Despite a couple of fake-out RFD surges, the storm appeared to have a dominant northeasterly motion that would pull it farther north away from the front. The only way I would have caught it is if I'd just parked downtown in the morning and sat there, an action that would have made no sense given the setup - under no scenario would I have done that with incipient supercells in the better environment to the east. In a nutshell, it was just an impossible situation that no other chasers saw coming either - so I'm not going to dwell on it much going forward.
I try to make it a practice to focus on the things to be thankful for, despite the misses. My season was free of major incidents or problems, and I *did* see 8 tornadoes. I didn't have to use up a lot of PTO to make my trips. My gear all performed like it's supposed to. Any year when I can get out there is a good one!
Spring 2025 totals:
Plains expedition trips: 2
Plains miles: 3,968
Plains days on the road: 5
Plains chase days: 4
Plains tornadoes: 3
Midwest tornadoes: 5
States covered: 4 (Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri Illinois)
I have all of my 2025 Plains season logs on my site here: