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Lack of TC So Far in 2025

Joined
Jun 17, 2007
Messages
309
Location
SIlver Spring MD
No hurricane-strength TCs have formed in the NHEMI so far this year (through 6/7). This is the latest on record in the reliable satellite era for detection (since 1970).

In addition, only one named storm had formed. On average to date, there are six. Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), which is the best metric to gauge TC activity, for the NHEMI is only 3% of avg.

Do you ever hear about this in the mainstream? No, b/c it is positive news and does not fit a particular prevailing narrative. And these kinds of records are more prevalent than you think, just we are not made aware of them. The mainstream media should report all information/data, not just cherry-pick items to suit their needs/motivations.

And if you are thinking that it is still too early in the season to really rate TC activity, yes it is, but only in the ATLC and the EPAC. The WPAC has a season that never really ends, just decreases in the winter (you can have super typhoons in Feb, as one example) and April-May is part one of its main season for the NIO, second being Oct-Nov. This kind info is of additional value b/c it shows not all wx/climate acts like what it is in and around the U.S. So what may be alien to us is not in reality, just our local experience bias we have.
 
Is it positive news? Or could it be an indicator of bigger changes in the global climate?

And as we well know, bad news sells better than good news, so record numbers of storms would always get more clicks than fewer.
 
The Atlantic season is being hampered by Saharan dust. This is becoming a more frequent factor. Cape Verde storms are getting quite rare. The Gulf seems to be making up for it though, later in the season.
 
Correction to my initial post. 2025 is not the latest on record for the first hurricane-strength tropical cyclone in the Northern Hemisphere (since 1970). It is the 3rd latest. Here is the top 5:


1) Claudia (EPAC) 7/4/1977
2) Adrian (EPAC) 6/15/1993
3) Barbara (EPAC) 6/9/2025
4) Allison (ATLC) 6/4/1995
5) Ava (EPAC) 6/4/1973


Today (6/11) we finally got out first named storm of at least TS strength in the western Pacific (Wutip). This is the 5th latest in this tropical ocean basin for the latest first named storm (since 1960). The top 5 are:

1) Nicole 7/8/1998
2) Nepartak 7/3/2016
3) Wilda 7/1/1973
4) Sarah 6/24/1983
5) Wutip 6/11/2025
 
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