• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

The hazards of long range forecasting...

Joined
Feb 29, 2004
Messages
4,133
Location
Rochester Hills, Michigan, United States of Americ
winteroutlook2004-05-precip-update2.jpg


I like how the winter outlook had a 55% chance for "dry" pasted across a region that had one of the snowiest winters on record. Our NWS, about 15 miles away from me (DTX, near Detroit), recorded +100 inches of snowfall this year, compared to our 50 inch average...

Never rely on long range forecasts :lol:
 
To their credit... Notice that they use probabilities. Obviously, barring a 0% or 100% probability, things are never certain.
 
Originally posted by Jeff Snyder
To their credit... Notice that they use probabilities. Obviously, barring a 0% or 100% probability, things are never certain.

Well, I didn't mean to discredit them, rather I was just pointing out that long range forecasting has a LONG way to go, and that it's usually not much more than a very rough educated guess...
 
One can, and and sometimes does get above climatological values of snowfall with below climatological values of precipitation (mainly because of low water equivalent and/or lack of significant rain for those places where winter precip amounts come from both rain and snow).

I'm sure that was not the case for Michigan this last winter, but it does happen sometimes.
 
Here in Illinois that time period was by far the most benign I've ever seen it around here since I can remember.
 
Originally posted by Joel Wright
Here in Illinois that time period was by far the most benign I've ever seen it around here since I can remember.

I'm with you on that one too. Here in eastern Illinois, there was never a point this winter where we had more than 3 inches on the ground. I think we might have had 10 inches total all season...all coming in small intervals. Was probably one or two times where the tops of the grass blades were not visible.
 
Back
Top