State of the Chase Season 2021

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Just wanted to toss out a quick message to the group wondering what people are seeing in the upcoming year signals for whether it looks more likely that La Nina will persist, or will it be a Hybrid year? I just took a look at the CPC guidance and have seen their estimates, but I know there are more things that some of you experts out there look at. Thanks!!


The current ENSO forecast is for a triple dip this winter with a decay through early spring to neutral or weak EL Nino. Probably still a little far out to be certain on the decay part but leaning neutral. Early decays usually arent good and neutral conditions are also a mixed bag.
 
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