Chase Case #4 (2010 Version)

[Adam Lucio]

Staying the night at my buddys in Wichita, KS.

Preliminary thoughts are heading west. Concerns about somewhat meager moisture in regard to LCL heights, and a stronger cap to the south with temps already at 12C so I think Wichita is a good place to wake up early and go over things.

 

[Jacob Ferden]

Spending the night at home in Norman, OK. Will decide which play to make early tomorrow morning.

 

[Jesse Risley]

Good morning chasers! The 12z suite of data is now available for your viewing pleasure as you prepare to venture out for today's setup:

Upper Air
250 mb
300 mb
500 mb
700 mb
850 mb
925 mb

Rawinsondes
AMA
DDC
DNR
DVN
ILX
LBF
LZK
OAX
OUN
SGF
TOP

Surface Map
Current Radar - CONUS
Visible Satellite

Regional Surface Maps (by areal sectors)
Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley
Middle Mississippi Valley
Central Plains
Northern Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley

The 18z suite of data will become available either late today or early tomorrow sometime.

Enjoy!

 

[Josh VandenTop]

Well, I missed last nigts data so it looks like I'll be making a play on the northern side of things closer to home somewhere in southern SD or northern NE. Since that puts things within a few hours I'm going to wait at home in Rock Rapids for now and leave around 11 and catch the 18z data in Parkston, SD.

 

[Patrick Martin]

I'm going to sit tight in Dodge City, KS for the time being and monitor things. Banking on winds backing a bit further west for a possible dryline play.

 

[Bob Hartig]

Wow. Looks like I'm heading back east to Omaha. The jet core may presently lie to the southwest, but deep moisture is all east of it, and you can't do much without that. Surface dewpoints in the low to mid 60s down there in Texas may advect north, but they don't have much riding on top of them, and that cold front will make short work of things. So, while I was kind of hoping for some dryline action, it looks to me like the warm front is once again the place to be. Moisture isn't that great up here, but it's adequate. The OAX sounding isn't anything to dream of, but it's only 7 a.m. CST, and since the triple point is presently almost overhead in Grand Island, I don't think I want to get too far east of it just yet. So Omaha it is, and then wait for the 18Z data.

Thanks, Jesse, for setting up this case!

 

[Tom Dulong]

Jumped into the game a little late. Havinig spend the night in Salina, KS, I am heading for Beatrice, Nebraska and wait for data updates.

 

[Robert Dewey]

I should be in Topeka KS by 18z. Hopefully the pseudo dryline / cold front will be making stead progress to the east.

 

[Chip Redmond]

I am going to sit in Lincoln, NE for the morning.

Chip

 

[Josh VandenTop]

Well, I missed last nigts data so it looks like I'll be making a play on the northern side of things closer to home somewhere in southern SD or northern NE. Since that puts things within a few hours I'm going to wait at home in Rock Rapids for now and leave around 11 and catch the 18z data in Parkston, SD.

Changed my mind, headed for Yankton,SD by 18z instead, has better south option incase I need to get across the river and into Nebraska.

 

[David Wolfson]

The surface system is chugging right along. I checked out and made it to Sioux City, IA, for lunch and the 18Z update. If this weren't a CC, I'd be pretty skeptical about the moisture and think that landing near severe, especially tornadic severe, will be pure luck, with a rather wide area of interest.

 

[Verne Carlson]

Making my way out from Denver to Concordia, KS

 

[Jacob Ferden]

Decisions, decisions. I have issues with both the DL/CF and the WF situations. I'll head up to Wichita, KS and wait for 18z data, and then make a decision whether to head west or north.

 

[Ed Boik]

I picked Topeka, KS but didn't post with the day 1 data. I stay with it for the day 2.

 

[Chad Moore]

Woke up in McCook, NE. Heading due east to Beatrice, NE for lunch and the 18Z reports. At that point, I could turn north toward Souix City and into the lifting surface low and stay in the apex of the warm sector, or I could turn south toward Topeka and burrow into the advecting moisture and dryline. Balloon data is not that encouraging- poor helicity south, poor moisture north. But I do like the sunshine and expected ground heating in the Central Plains and the 900 MB map shows pretty rapid moisture advection northward.