Approach of the Second Season...

just as long its not october 4th when i have my usual yearly party. but if that happens that weekend...well oh well....people can party i'll go chase and i'll have a good time and they can leave the party to my 2nd in command and i'll come back to a great time if it is in a 500 miles of my house! -)

Ten years ago this coming October 4 was my first ever Fall tornado.
 
Shane,

Last year Nappanee, IN, or as i put on the SN kappanee. That was my first ever fall tornado!. So we'll see what happens. I just hope it happens on my week off. Like this spring cycle in kansas.
 
Love the Fall Season

October 4th, 1998 was my first ever tornado while out chasing. Actually it was my first real chase. Didn't know what I was doing but still managed to capture the biggest tornado that day at Watonga, OK. On the ground for 20 minutes.

Was out on October 9th, 2001 also, but missed the big ones that day.
 
Yep Shane that was right after I had moved to Tulsa from STL. It was a pretty good event. Kept on chasing with Jeff and Kathryn right into the night. Got into some serious stuff down in Okmulgee Co. and later was stunned how wide that Nuyaka tornado was that we attempted to chase. Got the daytime tornado out by Dover. That was pretty nice.
 
We aren't too far from the anniversary of the 2007 Tulsa Oktoberfest when those 30 people were injured as svr storms crossed over Oklahoma. A fair number of tornadoes was spawned that day as well.

Call me a bit crazy but the air is just starting to get that feel to it and something in my gut tells me that we will have another few day active fall season and a bi of a harsh winter this year.
 
Call me a bit crazy but the air is just starting to get that feel to it and something in my gut tells me that we will have another few day active fall season and a bi of a harsh winter this year.

I agree with you. The models are still showing that major trough coming into the Plains the Oct 3-4 timeframe.

As far as a harsh winter, that could be happening as well. The main reason I believe this is because the farmer's almanac is predicting it which is appearently quite accurate and the fact we have had one of our coolest September's on record. But I don't mind that much because when we have wet, snowy, cold winters that usually means a fairly active spring tornado season.
 
We aren't too far from the anniversary of the 2007 Tulsa Oktoberfest when those 30 people were injured as svr storms crossed over Oklahoma. A fair number of tornadoes was spawned that day as well.

I remember that day. I was just entering Tulsa from the south with my friend and we were almost blown off the road by strong winds. After we got of the road and stopped at a mcdonald's for dinner, we saw a guy filling an insurance claim. I believe his car was hit by a falling sign from the wind.

I don't remember any tornadoes that day, at least not in OK. :(
 
The main reason I believe this is because the farmer's almanac is predicting it which is appearently quite accurate

Please put a smiley on that - anyone claiming the FA has any value as a weather prediction tool should be instantly kicked off any real forum ;)

Do _any_ research on the accuracy of the FA or OFA and you'll find -- there's none.
 
I remember that day. I was just entering Tulsa from the south with my friend and we were almost blown off the road by strong winds. After we got of the road and stopped at a mcdonald's for dinner, we saw a guy filling an insurance claim. I believe his car was hit by a falling sign from the wind.

I don't remember any tornadoes that day, at least not in OK. :(

A few spotters reported one near Kingfisher that day but Tulsa didn't have a warning on it or act on it. Out of Oklahoma there were 22 reports that day.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/071017_rpts.html
 
I had a talk with the Warning Coordinating Meteroligst over at IWX a while ago and we got talking about the second season, IMO the fall season does seem to pack more tornatic storms in my area, however the WCM stated that the only reason that the fall storms seem stronger is because they are the ones that end up causing the most fatalities because people are not thinking tornadoes in the fall. I guess people just need to pay more attention to detail, and if they didn't get it through their heads this last year, then I guess their death is their own stupidity, not mine

I've noticed this before. This past spring, and even the past few springs and summers, haven't really done much around NW Ohio in terms of severe storms and tornadoes. I think my area had maybe three or four tornado warnings throughout the entire spring and summer. But then once fall comes around, that seems to be when things can get hairy around here at times.

And I agree that people need to pay more attention. I don't care if it's Christmas Day. If there's a tornado warning, it's gonna have my full attention until the threat, whatever level or amount of threat there might be, passes.
 
November 15th, 1989

The F-4 that hit Huntsville, Alabama on November 15th, 1989 was the storm that changed my career path. I was working for an ambulnace service in Decatur, AL and followed this storm and the funnel cloud from the Bankhead National Forest southwest of Moulton all the way back to Decatur (a distance of over 30 miles). We came back into the city just after the hailstorm that dropped baseball-sized hail all over town. Thirty minutes later, we got a call for all available assistance to go to Huntsville. We started the day with temps in the high 70's and high humidity. That night, we were working the rubble piles in shirt-sleeves and snow.

Ninteen dead, over 500 injured.

This put me on the path to Emergency Management as a career.
 
Eastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania a week from tomorrow.


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It's not that trough that has me wondering if the plains will see a decent event, it's the next system in line. After that one the ensembles hit on a HUGE ridge building over the Western US, eventually, (albeit way out in the 300+hr range) that ridge breaks down (what goes up must come down) and things look as though they could be ripe for a plains event by the 6th or 7th
 
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