I think I'll stay where I am and enjoy lunch for now. I'm intrigued by a remote possibility for some late action up in the Mitchell, SD area. The air is pretty worked-over, Td's marginal at best, and surface temps still in the mid-50's. But the clearing SW of the northern MCS is nice, and with some subsidence on the back side (hopefully west of this target area), temps could rise quickly. It's not really my brain drawn to the area but more my gut. And the prospect of getting on storms away from Chaser Convergence Land is appealing. Still, it's a long shot. Mitchell is about 4.75 hours away, so I'll have to decide at the 18z update. In the mean time, I'll keep my eye on the nice clearing developing to my immediate west and watch developing outflow boundaries for focus areas. Hopefully, 18z sat images and surface data give me a clearer picture. For now, I'll stay put.
The dry line looks to be on the move, but that capped air in central OK would certainly keep me north nearer the KS border. I do see a little potential that far south right along the dry line late in the day, especially if CAPE can pool south of the dry line bulge.
I also thought the 12z Little Rock sounding and wind fields were interesting, but without a focusing mechanism and all the cloud cover, the action should stay west of there.
