James Gustina
Supporter
If there's something before the second week of April I'll do the Mexican Hat Dance under stormy skies. Flow pattern looks like about what I'd expect and it'll likely translate to a very, very quiet March on the Plains.
Thoughts about the upcoming 2015 chase season
- Thread starter Jason Boggs
- Start date
David Reimer
EF2
Another quiet year in the Plains with a few good days out in open fields hopefully. I wouldn't be shocked to see Dixie Alley heat up in April if the STJ keeps going the way it has been.
Adam Lucio
EF5
They say records are meant to be broken lol
This won't be changing anytime soon.
This won't be changing anytime soon.
James Gustina
Supporter
An almost flat line from the very start of January through now. Either this season is gonna go off like a firecracker as we move into April or we're somehow going to drive the masses crazy before May even gets here. Has there ever been a year like this since 2000?
Wesley Luginbyhl
EF4
2002 might be the closest so far. 2002 had Throckmorton and Happy, TX tornadoes, so not all bad.
Adam Lucio
EF5
Well, its certainly the lowest number in the past 10 years if we look at this graph
But according to this one below, the minimum is 5, though it doesn't say what year that was. Given the going forecast this year will certainly continue to remain on the bottom.
But according to this one below, the minimum is 5, though it doesn't say what year that was. Given the going forecast this year will certainly continue to remain on the bottom.
James Gustina
Supporter
I doubt we'll come roaring back by the end of March judging by the way this block is setting up. The rex block is gonna be thermally reinforced repeatedly off the PNW coast and the southern branch gets warped through northern Mexico into the Gulf. Just plain disgusting.
Marcus Diaz
EF5
James Gustina
Supporter
Seriously hard to force myself to look at a reasonable range right now. Venturing past 240 just makes me feel dirty. But hey, big trough on the 25th guys, calling it now.
Wesley Luginbyhl
EF4
The needs to be another button added to go with the "Like, Dislike, Agree, & Informative" options. For @James Gustina post above needs to be a 'Troll' button, because the GFS is trolling hard.
Chris Frost
EF0
If I had a nickel for everytime I dreamt a 360 hour forecast verifying....
Michael Gavan
EF2
Feel dirty with 240 Hours? What are you doing looking at the short range models? Why not 630 hours?
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Don't worry, the CFS has you covered. Outbreak in early April:
James Gustina
Supporter
I'll be targeting Cheyenne.
Adam Adkins
EF3
As long as the Great Lakes are so below average in temperature they're going to be sucking those high pressures down from Canada. Sounds like a negative feedback loop?
