La Nina returns!

[jshields]

I hope this is in the right section, if not please feel free to move it! I just read an article how La Nina conditions have apparently returned to the Pacific Ocean since December. Last spring and summer we were affected by La Nina conditions, and we all know how active a spring and early summer it was! so here's hoping for a good chase season

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090205_enso.html

 

[rdale]

http://stormtrack.org/forum/showthread.php?t=19035

 

[Steve Sherrod]

which is better for chasing

I'm pretty new to the science of all this I just "sniff the dirt"! Which is better for chasing in the Ks,Ok,Ne,Tx areas? La Nina or El Nina? I would love any info you could give me. Thanks

 

[rdale]

Neither. Either. Or Both.



There's more to it than EL or LN. The strength matters too, and that's not predictable.

So ask us after the season is over...

 

[Dennis Sherrod]

Steve,
There are some USEFUL posts on this subject in many previous threads. Some have some links to some good information.

Here is one that has a couple good links:
http://www.stormtrack.org/forum/showthread.php?t=16964&highlight=nina

Also, try the Search feature and there are a ton of links on there that may be helpful.

 

[David Drummond]

Oh great another year of freaking tornadic HP supercells!

 

[Dennis Sherrod]

Looks like we have to put up with all of those again won't we?

 

[Danny Neal]

Oh great another year of freaking tornadic HP supercells!

LOL if you master the HP, everything else will seem like a picnic

 

[Rob Wadsworth]

I still be grateful and thankful to get out of the house and see some storm action. I'd like to see some more Classic SC's this year, but I'll have to take what comes along.

 

[Steve Sherrod]

Thanks for the input everyone, I have always been very interested in the scientific side of the weather, just never took the time to study much.. I haven't had bad success chasing without it.
I can't wait to get out of the house and see a few storms!!

 

[Jim Cross]

For those who like reading Ed Berry's blog, there is some interesting observations regarding La Nina for this spring. www.weatherclimatelink.blogspot.com/

 

[Eric Bucsela]

A quick glance at past years, and it's hard to make the case that ENSO predicts a good or bad chase season. This is especially true for chase vacationers looking at the mid-May-to-early June period. Here's the Nino 3.4 region:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml

Notice the similarity between 2000 and 2008 - both started with moderate/weakening La Ninas. But 2000 was not great for chasing (after mid-May at least), while 2008 was one of the best.

Also, 2002 and 2004. Both began as weak/strengthening El Ninos. But peak season in 2002 was abysmal and 2004 was extraordinarily active.

 

[Marc Remillard]

Oh great another year of freaking tornadic HP supercells!

Lol, I think you're quite familiar with those HP cores don't you?