Chase Case #5 (2010 Version)

On seeing the development in western KS at 19z am going to back track and creep a bit further north to Liberal, KS and beg and hope for something to get going on the southern edge of the focal point of convection...Should get there just around 21z and maybe have a play.


Chip
 
Probably I'd better stay put in Arnett, ok hoping to see a rapid convective development due to the incoming outflow boundary. Anyway I'm moving north east to Mooreland, ok.
Edit: just checked the radar: there's a new cell developing not far from Greensburg,Ks; it's just there I'm heading to.
 
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Ugh I fell behind on this case so I dunno where I would be and whatnot...but going off the latest updates it appears the moisture is pooling better to the east and LCLs are much more favorable in that area as well.

Given that I would probably want to be in the Seiling area. Whether or not Im there who knows, so Ill just leave it at that.
 
I'm too far away to get on those storms that produced the tornadoes near Wallace/Winona, KS. I'll think I will stay put in Kiowa, KS until the next data update.
 
Woah, how did I miss an update?? I check every day at about the same time.

Anyway... based on the 18Z suite, I am heading north out of Shattuck. The upper level bump moving through northeast Colorado is making me uneasy about my southern position.

Based on the 19Z-20Z update, I'm still northbound. Shouldn't be a problem to make it to Garden City, KS by 2030Z, the time of the last sat image. Robust convection to my north.
 
Wow, this is a hard one! There is some flavor of boundary running SE from Woodward, OK and there seems to be another oriented along I40. Hope the cold pool can interact with one of those and make something good happen. Td's here in Woodward are 10 degrees lower than just to my SE. Taking 270 to Watonga, will be there by 21Z.
 
Going to make the jog over to Boise City, OK based on the little puffs coming off the Raton Mesa and moreso b/c I am bored out of my mind in Guymon, and just need a change of scenery.
 
I have a feeling something will pop in NW OK or TX panhandle still, so I'm going to stay in Seiling, OK. At least I hope something pops.
 
Heading NE to Seiling, OK. May be way off here but I'm hoping that the outflow from storms in SC Kansas (evident by Med. Lodge ASOS) will interact with the boundary running NW-SE through OK and do some magic. I'm about 2 hours away and wouldn't have left until after looking at 20Z data. Looks like the storm near Greensburg is fizzling out but maybe something will fire SE of there. Gonna grab some beef jerky and hit the road.
 
Heading from Canadian, TX to Guymon, OK in the panhandle. Want to get closer to the leading edge of the southerly push and like the line of towering cu I'm seeing in SE CO and NE NM. Though the air looks pretty capped now, hoping the short wave will rile things up. Should be there in under 2 hours.
 
Sitting where I was-aint movin an inch--nothing is gonna happen here-but i am too far to get anywhere else
 
Rolling west on US 160 to Ashland KS then either to DDC or Meade area, would hope to be west of DDC near Cimarron or Montezuma as I watch the storms to the northwest as I drive, once i'm in Gray Co KS i will stop and wait for 21z
 
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