Chase Case #5 (2010 Version)

[Chad Moore]

With each update, I moved northerly from Texas toward Kansas, but didn't make large enough moves- I was quite tentative. I was always being reactive instead of getting ahead of the forecast. There was clearly enough moisture in Western KS coupled with the dynamics to make things work, and the moisture was pushing further north with each update. I also forgot that conditions can be "too good" and that an MCS can be hard on your auto and not much to look at from inside.

 

[Joerg Kudella]

Busted on the Kingfisher Cell which eventually vanished after the last update, epic bust.

This event asked too much of my forecasting skills, which are not overly developed due to lack of experience. But it might help, if I think things through next time and don´t stay with one target no matter what.

 

[Jacob Ferden]

Well, that was a big fat bust. If I've learned anything from a couple of these cases, it's that NW flow isn't exactly my specialty.

 

[Scott Hammel]

If I've learned anything from a couple of these cases, it's that NW flow isn't exactly my specialty.

Hahaha, ditto here. I always seem to find myself in between storms aka No Man's Land. I didn't quite get to the W KS tornadoes and was too far away from any action in OK. Like all my ex girlfriends say, I seem to have a problem with commitment (boom, bam!). Great chase case, regardless and thanks for doing such a good job with the updates!

 

[Adam Lucio]

Good case, although I didn't follow too closely it looks like I would have had the same result no matter where I moved around in OK or even southern KS. No tornadoes for me, but would have gotten on some sort of storm with damaging winds and potentially hail so not a total bust. Ill take me some mean HP structure and crazy wind/hail footage anyday.

NW flow is not easy. I did like the flow in KS better, but also chose where I did due to better moisture with subsequent lower LCLs.

 

[cdcollura]

Wow May 27, 2001 ... I chased this day and saw a massive derecho event! Link is below...

http://www.sky-chaser.com/mwcl2001.htm#MAY27

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Incredible derecho...Too bad I ended the chase in Greensburg, Ks and I wasn't able to reach the Leoti supercell.
Anyway that was an hard case to solve: NW Ks moisture didn't help and to be sincere I didn't see that low even because there was not the CO-NM surface map. I really need a good Plains outbreak in the next case

 

[Tom Dulong]

This was a bust for me...thought about heading northwest back toward DDC early on...wish now I had.

The northwest flow on top of marginal low level shear should have been a flag that any supercells would quickly turn into an MCS.

Oh well

Thanks Jesse...this was fun!

 

[Ed Boik]

I busted hard other than probably seeing fun structure and the leading edge of the MCS. Put entirely too many miles on my vehicle. I'm always reactive to storm initiation and this chase case taught me a hard lesson to focus on storm initiation locations and track rather than "catch-up" to the maturing storms.

 

[Verne Carlson]

What I learned: "Don't leave Colorado!"