Chase Case #5 (2010 Version)

[David Wolfson]

I had slipped a little east to Protection, KS, in case the storms moving southeast into OK became dominant, but instead it was clear they were going there to die. The complex moving into the Dodge City vicinity continued to develop and I realize I had better move northwest to meet them rather than letting them come to me because the environment my way isn't, apparently, too favorable.

So in the 21:30-23:00Z period I have moved back toward Bucklin, KS, and will be tracking the lead cell for the duration. Kinda looks like it's thinking of becoming a Messyscale Convective System but that's what I've got.

 

[Matt Sellers]

Blasted south down K-25 to and through Leoti, eventually making it to Lakin, KS. Not going any further southeast given convective trends... good luck to all farther SE as this evolves. Calling off the chase and heading home to Beulah, CO... where a late steak dinner awaits.

 

[Joerg Kudella]

Well, got a little behind:

Based on the 19/20Z update I would have gone east due to the fact, that the dryline was already pushing in from the west and dewpoints were much better to my east, so I would probably be heading towards OK city by then.

Based on the 21-23z update the Kingfisher cell would have caught my attention and I would probably be on that storm right now. However, lots of driving today and it pretty much looks like a bust to me at the time beeing, anyway, I would not have gone for the Kansas mess. Maybe the Kingfisher cell turns out to be something nice

 

[Scott Hammel]

Well, I made my play on the cells near DDC and looks like all I have to show for it is a few new dents and hopefully some good structure photos but now this whole line looks like a mess. I'm gonna head W out of DDC and try to stay S of the line and hope something happens on a tail end Charley as I make my way to Lakin, KS on my way home. Good luck to all who waited it out in OK!

 

[Andy Jackson]

Looks like the show is just about to begin in OK(hopefully). CAPE is probably pretty high right now so yes, I believe I would have jumped on the exploding cell south of Enid. Put me on the Kingfisher storm

 

[Josh VandenTop]

Assuming I left Seiling around 22z I should be pulling up on the Kingfisher storm about now.

 

[Tom Dulong]

Noting that the western KS storms are turning into a mess, I have dropped back southwestward from Kiowa, KS to about 8mi south of
Alva, OK to see what happens with this isold storm. I have some decent
road options toward the east and south to stay up with it.

 

[Patrick Martin]

Headed back eastward to Liberal, KS to see about the small isolated cell near there. Not expecting much at this point.

 

[James Gustina]

I'll stay in Fort Supply, OK

 

[Verne Carlson]

I'm also now on the Kingfisher, OK storm, looks like it is trying to form a hook on the northwest side.

 

[Bob Hartig]

What a convective scrap pile this has turned into! I wish I had held my ground in Woodward--I'd be on the Alva storm at this point. But that's out of my reach, and instead I'm heading west toward Forgan, OK, to intercept the little cell that's presently near Liberal, KS. I don't have high expectations, but there's no point in playing tag with this big potful of rain soup.

 

[Ben Tillotson]

I would be chasing the small cell near Liberal, KS. Like Patrick I'm not expecting much...

 

[Ed Boik]

I got to Liberal, KS around 2030Z and decided I wasn't patient enough to wait for the dryline to do anything. So I fled east to Bucklin, KS by 2145Z-- right before the cells turned into the disgusting mess. I decided to speed eastward to get ahead of the mess a bit and watch the towers to the north-northeast. Made it to Pratt, KS by 2255Z and decided to follow the strong cell at the SW corner of Reno County. Currently, I'm around Turon, KS.

 

[Bret Hendrickson]

Would have left Seiling after looking at the 2245Z satellite. Two options, either go to the storm near Alva or head east towards the storm near Hennessey. I'm going to head towards the better moisture and probably lower LCL's. So east it is. Should be near Kingfisher by 00Z.

 

[Brandon Jenkins]

Well after some debate I decided to move east on 40 out of Sayre and towards Yukon, OK. I should arrive in the area sometime before 00z but my confidence is waning at this point. If I can capture some structure and lightning shots I will be at least somewhat satisfied with the day.