Chase Case #5 (2010 Version)

[Chad Moore]

Moving from Childress, TX to Canadian, TX. The surface map says I'm close to the right spot- not going to bite on the Kansas action. The day is still young. There is just the hint of a convergence stretching SSE from Liberal, KS, which has a 70 dewpoint. When that vort max reaches the TX/OK panhandles, it should blow up fast.... or not.

 

[Brandon Jenkins]

Moving North and East out of Childress to Sayre, OK. Should be there shortly after 19z.

 

[Bob Hartig]

Has anyone else noticed what looks like yet another boundary out there in the middle of the OK panhandle near Hooker? Just a hint--a few clouds pushing up, that's all, but the surface map suggests that they're forming along a line of convergence, and look at that 70 dewpoint at Liberal!

Not that I'm biting, just observing. This scenario is one in which I think, and hope, that patience is the winning card: no impulse moves, no jumping at the first thing that happens, just wait and trust my gut. I'm happy as a clown on laughing gas here in Woodward, and I think those storms in south-central/southeastern KS are just the opening act. But I'm sure keeping my eyes open on what's happening in the region around me.

 

[Chad Moore]

Has anyone else noticed what looks like yet another boundary out there in the middle of the OK panhandle near Hooker? Just a hint--a few clouds pushing up, that's all, but the surface map suggests that they're forming along a line of convergence, and look at that 70 dewpoint at Liberal!

We're seeing the same thing Bob and it looks good to me.

 

[Dan Melby]

No way I am biting on the Kansas cells. I've been burnt on the early show before. Although, I could be kicking myself later. Right now, I see no reason to leave Woodward just yet.

 

[David Wolfson]

Continuing north to get out of the OK data hole to Sitka, KS, for the 19Z update.

 

[cstrunk]

I'm also going to sit tight in Seiling, OK.

Waiting to see if something fires in NW OK or in SW KS and rides a boundary...

 

[Bob Hartig]

Continuing north to get out of the OK data hole to Sitka, KS, for the 19Z update.

Ahhh, you're just remembering chase #4 and feel jumpy about being too close to me!

 

[Ryan Orlando]

I'm going to move north to Paducah, TX and will be there approximately 1915Z.

 

[Joshua Nall]

Hard part about this is looking at the maps... making a decision... then not being persuaded by what others say I guess. Since I choose to have no communication with anyone in real life, I'm going to try to base my decisions off of personal observation, even though better decisions would probably be made with the knowledge others contribute. Will probably get the most out of it that way. Anyway, after arriving in Childress at 1830z and checking visible satellite, I too noticed the puffs of white in the OK panhandle and adjacent area of Kansas. I'm continuing on to my original destination, Canadian, TX. Will be 15 minutes south of there by 20z. They are within reach moving downstream and gives me something to watch. Not sure about the 50s dews in the TX panhandle.. that I assume are pushing E, I'm guessing that the dryline has made it E of Amarillo and Childress. May wish I were further E by 20z.

 

[Dean Baron]

Dang, busy weekend at work has gotten me behind on this. Anyways, last update I was headed west to Amarillo from Shamrock, TX. Based on 17z data I would have been heading back east to Shamrock and based on 18z data I would have been heading to Sayre, OK where there is a good north/south option.

 

[Joerg Kudella]

Heading to Sayre, OK now. Approximately 100 miles from Childress, should be there at 20z.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

I'm moving to Arnett,Ok! Tough case Jesse We've no many synoptic features to seize on with this anlysis maps and this is more engaging to me.

 

[James Gustina]

I'm gonna move SE to Fort Supply, OK so I don't get behind. Only about a half hour drive, but Ft.Supply has better SE road options once things initiate to the NW (That's assuming these things don't fizzle, leaving me punting my camera across fields )

 

[Patrick Martin]

Been in Guymon OK for the last hour. Grabbed some lunch and watching the early show in KS on radar, but not going to bite on that. Starting to see a couple little puffs of clouds in the last hour and watching the boundary just to my north. Going to sit tight in Guymon, OK.