Chase Case #2

[Andrea Griffa]

Ok, we did guess it. Anyway, I'm pretty convinced that there wasn't any tornado in Grand Island. Maybe we saw some funnels with ground condensation. I saw some incredible RFDnadoes and one of them did catch me.
Here are some pictures of the early stage of the supercell taken by me and 2 video in Gran Island with the wall cloud and the RFDnado hitting us taken by my chase partner Fabio Giordano.

http://it.youtube.com/watch?v=bV1LH-gnOhE

http://it.youtube.com/watch?v=MIklQ2cp52Y&feature=channel_page

 

[Shane Adams]

LOL that's now three chase cases from days I stayed home, so I continue to stink it up.

 

[Josh Richardson]

Probably due to the fact that all 3 chases cases have involved main targets in the NE/MN/IA region, I was actually kind of surprised by that.

 

[Adam Lucio]

Good work Chad these excercises really keep you on your feet.

For me the forecast was a bit of a loss because I targeted further south in Kansas to begin with...I was baking on a dryline event with the better CAPE showing up in the south...however if this were an actual chase day I probably would have adjusted the right way and been able to at leaste get on the storms in NE...weather or not in time to see the best stuff....well who can say for sure? But since for me the main point is to make a good forecast off the bat ill take this one as a loss...I did better on 3 though.

Good stuff. Keep em coming.

 

[Tim Segraves]

I guess I would have been close to some of the action but whether I would have seen anything is a whole other question.

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

On that day, I chased to Blair, NE. Three years later, I picked Hebron. That's interesting in and of itself

 

[Andrea Griffa]

I guess I would have been close to some of the action but whether I would have seen anything is a whole other question.

Tim, that day was not too difficult to chase; I remember there was a big chasers convergence in Grand Island. A lot of chasers were starting to give theirself up because skies were clear till 7pm. Then suddenly a tower started and everyone headed to that. If that supercell has been tornadic, the major part of the chasers would have nailed the tube.

C'mon, let's start with the new case, now (who's the next one?)!

 

[Matthew Harding]

I thoroughly enjoy doing these. I nailed this one, and didn't do so hot on case#3. I feel that these cases help reinforce to me what I have been reading. Keep 'em coming!

 

[Bob Hartig]

Chad, you did a great job. Many thanks!

I'm really enjoying these chases. I busted in West Texas on chase #3, but I feel good about nailing this one. These scenarios are a great way to while away the cold months tightening down my forecasting skills for when it counts.

 

[Jeff Duda]

Thanks, Chad. Great scenario.

I'm happy I was in a good spot to hit at least one of the storms (I was sitting in Columbus, NE, so getting to the Grand Island supercell would've been a snap). Turns out I would've seen more if I had stayed home in central Iowa, but that's how chasing goes.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Thanks, Chad. Great scenario.

I'm happy I was in a good spot to hit at least one of the storms (I was sitting in Columbus, NE, so getting to the Grand Island supercell would've been a snap). Turns out I would've seen more if I had stayed home in central Iowa, but that's how chasing goes.

Jeff this was the brief tornado you lost, taken by twister sister site:

http://www.twistersisters.com/051005.htm

 

[Scott Weberpal]

I'll take the Grand Island structure that day over any of the brief low-contrast tornadoes on the Iowa storm. Still to this day the best "structure" storm I've ever been on.

 

[Dann Cianca]

I busted hard in SW Kansas. Anyone want to get a beer?

 

[Darren Addy]

Well, it appears that even though I didn't play it well I would have had plenty of time to get north out of Belleville in time to catch some Nebraska action. Even if I didn't leave until the 00z update - the York tornado (3 miles north of town) that was reported at 9:41 pm was only 90 minutes north of me. Unfortunately, that would have been after dark, I believe.

I remember this day very well because I couldn't chase, but I watched that monster just sit there and grow on the intersection of Custer, Hall, Buffalo and Howard counties (25 steeenkin' miles from me). It didn't start moving east for a VERY long time. Its radar presentation was just killing me.

 

[Chad Cowan]

If that supercell has been tornadic, the major part of the chasers would have nailed the tube.

Andrea- can you (or anyone else who chased that day) clarify where all those tornado reports are from with the Grand Island supercell? With all that RFD dust being kicked up I'm sure there were quite a few false reports. Verne Carlson has video of a tornado dark from that storm as LCL's dropped from loss of diurnal heating: