Kenny Drake
EF3
- Joined
- Apr 7, 2006
- Messages
- 227
This system looks very similar to the Halloween Blizzard of 1991 when 27 inches of snow was recorded at KMSP. Should be fun...
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12/22/09-12/25/09 Midwest Winter Storm
- Thread starter Joel Wright
- Start date
Adam Penney
EF1
Kenny, the Chanhassen office echoes your sentiment. They had this to say in their AFD this morning.
THIS STORM SYSTEM IS REMINISCENT OF THE INFAMOUS HALLOWEEN BLIZZARD
OF 1991...AS WAS CONFIRMED BY THE GFS212 36 HOUR CIPS ANALOGS.
OVER 27 INCHES OF SNOW WAS OBSERVED AT THE MSP AIRPORT DURING THAT
STORM...WHILE FREEZING PRECIPITATION PLAGUED A GOOD PORTION OF IA
INTO WESTERN WI. THE EXTENDED DURATION OF THE ANTICIPATED SNOWFALL
WITH THE IMPENDING SYSTEM...ALONG WITH THE IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE
PROGGED TO SURGE NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF...CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
ONE TO NEARLY TWO FOOT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE
HEAVIER SNOW WINDS DOWN ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RECORD VALUES
CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY.
They are officially calling for 16-22 inches in the MSP metro area, as of now.
THIS STORM SYSTEM IS REMINISCENT OF THE INFAMOUS HALLOWEEN BLIZZARD
OF 1991...AS WAS CONFIRMED BY THE GFS212 36 HOUR CIPS ANALOGS.
OVER 27 INCHES OF SNOW WAS OBSERVED AT THE MSP AIRPORT DURING THAT
STORM...WHILE FREEZING PRECIPITATION PLAGUED A GOOD PORTION OF IA
INTO WESTERN WI. THE EXTENDED DURATION OF THE ANTICIPATED SNOWFALL
WITH THE IMPENDING SYSTEM...ALONG WITH THE IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE
PROGGED TO SURGE NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF...CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
ONE TO NEARLY TWO FOOT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE
HEAVIER SNOW WINDS DOWN ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RECORD VALUES
CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY.
They are officially calling for 16-22 inches in the MSP metro area, as of now.
Mike Hollingshead
From Des Moines for nw IA areas.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT IN THE
WARNING AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL LIKELY BE
IMPOSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AS SNOW ACCUMULATES AND WINDS INCREASE.
WITH AROUND OF FOOT OF SNOW ALREADY ON THE GROUND IN PARTS OF
NORTHWEST IOWA...SNOW DEPTHS MAY REACH TWO TO THREE FEET BY
THE WEEKEND WITH DRIFTS REACHING ROOFTOPS OF HOUSES.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT IN THE
WARNING AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL LIKELY BE
IMPOSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AS SNOW ACCUMULATES AND WINDS INCREASE.
WITH AROUND OF FOOT OF SNOW ALREADY ON THE GROUND IN PARTS OF
NORTHWEST IOWA...SNOW DEPTHS MAY REACH TWO TO THREE FEET BY
THE WEEKEND WITH DRIFTS REACHING ROOFTOPS OF HOUSES.
Adam Penney
EF1
Mark Sefried
EF2
That is insane, thanks for sharing! In 1979 from what my parents have told me, we had drifts to rooftops in Central IL. With all of the snow, that only means one thing come late this winter and into early spring, major flooding problems across a good chunk of the Western Midwest.
Jason Haller
EF2
Looks like TOP has started to catch on. 10+ north of I-70
A major winter storm will impact all of Northeast Kansas over the next 48 hours. A mixture of rain will change to snow from west to east across the area later tonight through Thursday. This changeover may include a period of sleet or freezing rain. Any ice accumulation should remain one tenth of an inch or less across the area tonight. The entire area should change to snow by Thursday evening when heavy snow and strong northwest winds will develop. Near blizzard conditions will develop across some parts of Northeast Kansas Thursday night into early Friday. Snowfall potential by Friday afternoon includes 5 to 10 inches with higher amounts possible north of Interstate 70.
A major winter storm will impact all of Northeast Kansas over the next 48 hours. A mixture of rain will change to snow from west to east across the area later tonight through Thursday. This changeover may include a period of sleet or freezing rain. Any ice accumulation should remain one tenth of an inch or less across the area tonight. The entire area should change to snow by Thursday evening when heavy snow and strong northwest winds will develop. Near blizzard conditions will develop across some parts of Northeast Kansas Thursday night into early Friday. Snowfall potential by Friday afternoon includes 5 to 10 inches with higher amounts possible north of Interstate 70.
Eric Sipes
Call me a wuss but, I'll take what I can get. It looks like all of W Oklahoma is under a Winter Storm Warning. 4" expected throught thursday.
Robert Dewey
EF5
Apparently all we get out of it is a Packman chewing his way through MI...
Mike Hollingshead
lol he's even being chased by a ghost thingy, heading over to eat on that bean.
http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_72HR.gif
18z NAM
http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_72HR.gif
18z NAM
jpersonette
1979 in NC IL
Jan 1979 in NC IL - 18 days below zero (only one day where temp. got above freezing). 39" snow top of over a foot which occured on New Year's eve of 1978. This is still a record for NC IL. Ave monthy temp. 8.35 degrees F.
Jan 1979 in NC IL - 18 days below zero (only one day where temp. got above freezing). 39" snow top of over a foot which occured on New Year's eve of 1978. This is still a record for NC IL. Ave monthy temp. 8.35 degrees F.
Adam Penney
EF1
Those in NE OK could be left disappointed...
http://ruc.noaa.gov/disp2.cgi?/w3/rapb/plots_13km_backup/T18/+snowacc+am+48
http://ruc.noaa.gov/disp2.cgi?/w3/rapb/plots_13km_backup/T18/+snowacc+am+48
Justin Griffith
I'm still really new to this (and don't really know what I'm doing), but this has been fun to watch.
It looks like areas of Missouri are going to get hammered, unfortunately not my area though.
What are the chances of this thing shifting east and hitting Sullivan, Mo hard?
It looks like areas of Missouri are going to get hammered, unfortunately not my area though.
What are the chances of this thing shifting east and hitting Sullivan, Mo hard?
Jason Bolt
ICT now backing down snowfall totals to 2-4 for all except SE KS. I'm wanting to by in to the RUC and hope we get just a couple inches, but I'm finding the NAM and GFS more likely. Still, it's actually better for me to get snowed on here and be able to drive out of it on the way to ICT Friday. Fingers crossed.
John Farley
Supporter
I've been watching on the radar this afternoon as a closed low has drifted slowly southeast from just west of Santa Fe to just southeast of Albuquerque. Bands and clusters of convective snow have been spinning around the closed low which seems to have resulted in a sustained period of snow in the Santa Fe area and more snowshowers in Albuquerque. Accumulations appear to be on the high side of what was initially forecast in both areas. I am wondering how much farther southeast the closed low will get before it begins to turn more to the east, and how that might affect the eventual track of the storm.
To answer Justin's question, it still looks like the track will be too far west for substantial snow in the Sullivan, MO area, much less STL, but given the erratic performance of the models with this storm and the complexity of the storm, I suppose there is always an outside chance. It will be interesting to see what this evenings model runs produce. But most likely, the heavier snow will be well to the west of those areas.
To answer Justin's question, it still looks like the track will be too far west for substantial snow in the Sullivan, MO area, much less STL, but given the erratic performance of the models with this storm and the complexity of the storm, I suppose there is always an outside chance. It will be interesting to see what this evenings model runs produce. But most likely, the heavier snow will be well to the west of those areas.
Robert Hettchen
alright. can we just get this storm over with? the dodge city nws just went from 2-4 inches 90% snow tonight and tomorrow to 20% both periods with little or no accumulation. however 55 miles ese of me (me being in Coldwater, ks) across the ok line calling for up to 7". winter storm warning 15 miles south of me and ddc nws has dropped all winter weather headlines. after 3 days of blizzard watch..........nothing. i suppose with this rediculous system anything is possible at this point.
