Warren, I have been thinking the same thing as of looking at the models today (was away for the weekend and couldn't catch up until now) - May 6th/7th looks like something will happen though it's fairly up in the air as to where the event will occur (especially for the 7th).
However, as someone who has a chasecation timeframe of May 7-May 15th (with no option to change due to other commitments), I'm becoming really worried about the timeframe beyond May 7th, models are extremely mixed on what could happen - either a series of events, or the moisture gets swept south for a week straight and absolutely nothing happens.
There is so much variation between ECMWF and GFS, and even large variation within run-to-run models of the GFS itself, I have no confidence in it's output.
@Warren Faidley - why are you not buying the solution of poor RH recovery? I'm still new to long-range model interpretation so I'm sure I'm missing a lot of nuance behind the current models.