Connor McCrorey
EF3
Gotta hate those mid-May death ridges 
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Season over?
- Thread starter Brian Davidson
- Start date
Chris Hayes
EF5
Connor, yep. If the ECMWF verifies it looks like we could see at least several consecutive chase days in the plains. 
Randall Cooper
EF2
Connor, yep. If the ECMWF verifies it looks like we could see at least several consecutive chase days in the plains.
SHHHHHH!!!! I dont want everyone to know that this isnt a "death ridge"......OH....CRAP!
Chris Hayes
EF5
Latest runs of the GooFuS have given up any signs of a ridge forming anytime between now and the next couple of weeks Not realiable at all, but combine that with the continuous plotting by the ECMWF of a Rocky Mountain trough it's apparent we got plenty of chasing coming.
Not realiable at all, but combine that with the continuous plotting by the ECMWF of a Rocky Mountain trough it's apparent we got plenty of chasing coming.
The moral of the story: don't cry at the drop of a hat. The models aren't perfect and things change.
joel ewing
EF5
These mid-May ridges.......separate the chaser men from the chaser boys.
I have to chuckle, because EVERY year about this time we have this topic in S.T.
Just ask my chase partner Doren Berge, I have a little saying that I run by him, and it's said with disdain: "May / Schmay". In layman's terms...this means that I really disdain chasing in May...for the most part. That's why I opt to chase beginning the first few days in June. This year is no exception, as I'm flying into Omaha on May 29th. I absolutely LOVE chasing in June.
I have to chuckle, because EVERY year about this time we have this topic in S.T.
Just ask my chase partner Doren Berge, I have a little saying that I run by him, and it's said with disdain: "May / Schmay". In layman's terms...this means that I really disdain chasing in May...for the most part. That's why I opt to chase beginning the first few days in June. This year is no exception, as I'm flying into Omaha on May 29th. I absolutely LOVE chasing in June.
Michael Riedl
EF2
Wow, what an awesome surprise at the GFS to see a trough like that come ashore around the 20th, couple that with the 18/19th days you will have several days of possible chasing.
Derek Weston
EF5
Saturday keeps looking better and better... I really hope to get a weekend chase in for once.
Andrew Pritchard
EF5
One thing I'm not a fan of at this point on the ECMWF is the little low that just sits over the Great Lakes, and the high down near the gulf. Keeping that trough from really ejecting out much at this point.
Of course, the GFS is the opposite really plowing that thing into the nation's midsection by midweek.
Of course, the GFS is the opposite really plowing that thing into the nation's midsection by midweek.
L.B. LaForce
EF2
Gahhh! we are screwed. That is the absolute WORST death ridge I have ever seen!Gotta hate those mid-May death ridges
Eric Bucsela
EF2
Others have pointed this out, but I'm just flabbergasted by the discrepancies between ECMWF and GFS on this system due next weekend. Yes the ECMWF has a deep meridional trough setting up chases beginning Sat May 22 and staying put about 3 days or so. But the GFS has a less amplified solution, with a wave that ploughs into the upper Mississippi valley the next day (May 23), followed by ridging in the West. Could the two be any more different??! I like (and am inclined to agree with, based on past experience) the ECMWF solution, and FWIW, the GEFS ensembles tend to agree with it as well.
Chris Hayes
EF5
I like the ECMWF solution more for two reason, A: I want to have a string of possible chase days, and B: it's far more consistent than the GFS is. The GFS doesnt know what to predict it seems.
Derek Weston
EF5
Haven't noticed the GFS being any worse than the ECMWF this season. Almost seems fashionable to bash the GFS anymore.
Derek Weston
EF5
Wow, latest GFS sure shows quite a bit of nice chasing should it verify. Sat-Tue... central plains through upper midwest featuring big CAPE and reasonable storm speeds. (note: possibly friday too -- those of you planning your chase vacations late next week might have picked a nice time)
Mike Hollingshead
After today's 12z GFS I just bought a small bit of land and a few farm animals. Taking up farming now, since the season is toast. Should start a thread on "what did you do after May 10, 2010."
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