• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

New chase case#5

I am a late entry into this, but I think I will have to set up close to Great Bend, KS. This will allow me to adjust most any direction fairly easily if needed. I like the looks of the 850mb here, but wanting to see the next updates.
 
Looks at least like a moderate risk 15 hatched torns, if not a high later in the day (25 hatched). Deep moisture, great directional and speed shear over (what should be) a good chunk of the High Plains. I'll start off in my hometown of Dighton, KS and eat at the Frigid Creme and visit with old friends while awaiting the 18z data. I wouldn't be surprised if the show started early in Eastern Colorado, in vicinity of the 500 mb cold-core low.
 
I will initially set up shop in Dodge City, KS, mooching wi-fi from the Best Western like I did on Memorial Day 2008.

Not having a large observational data set of high plains chase days under my belt, I want to be a reasonable distance south of the triple point/warm front to be able to make a southward trek if the north doesn't pan out or the dryline further southwest is the better place to be. The strong low-level cold, dry feed will retard any appreciable northward movement of the warm front so I am in good position to easily reach that area.

I have no experience in determining dryline movement in southern high plains situations, but my guess is that it will not move very much to the east from what the morning data shows. Better shear for more picturesque storms and more visible potential tornadoes will be found southwest of me so I will probably end up heading that way sooner than later.
 
I wouldn't be surprised if the show started early in Eastern Colorado, in vicinity of the 500 mb cold-core low.

I was wondering about that possibility as well. I'm not really good at front range/high plains vicinity forecasting, so my take is pretty hit or miss. I'll stay east for now.
 
Upon further inspection of 12z stuff, one concern I have right now is an expanding cap at 700mb. May have to keep an eye on that 10 degree line at 700mb ...not seeing much hope for cooling across the TX Panhandle. May have to fudge a bit further north to the Liberal KS area for lunch....and hold pending further 18z data. Looks like maybe a developing theta ridge poking up into SW Kansas....with backed surface winds. Hmmmm. :cool:
 
I'm still sitting in Norman in front of my computer waiting for 18z updates, which as of now are about 6 hours late :rolleyes:
 
Based off of the 12z models I'll find myself starting out in Dodge City, KS. Looks like a ton of moisture over the High Plains, this setup looks pretty intense. I will pinpoint a better target when the 18z data arrives.
 
I want to help you as more as I can and I will proceed with some more updates than usual, so keep an eye upon the forum.

Now, since is Sunday and more people has free time to take a look to this case I immediately upload 18Z maps with surface analysis, 850 mb analysis, sat and radar.
I created a wayfaring map to write down your targets: feel free to add yourself to this map. This map allows anyone to add himself if you're registered in wayfaring.

http://www.wayfaring.com/maps/show/54201


Surface South analysis
18zsouthpj2.gif


Surface Central analysis
18zcentraljz3.gif


850mb Temperature analysis
850mb18zjc4.png


Sat
sat1845zae3.png


Radar with watches
radar1732zfh9.png
 
My dad and I are heading north on US283 to WaKeeney, KS to play the warm front where the temps appear warmer and the winds are nice and backed. This day looks familiar, but I am unsure if it is the one I am thinking of.
 
850mb flow looking a little less exciting at 18z, but the 850mb low appears to be strengthening. This should draw even deeper moisture up into SW Kansas Looks like things are still in flux mode. I'll camp out in Liberal KS a while longer and await more data.
 
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