Midwest Finally Going To Get Active Again?

[Andrew Herron]

You guys just don't live here is all. I'm with Rob on this one, the way Michigan works, when we have a nasty bout of winter weather in the spring, the summer is usually sweltering (read: my good ol' Farmer's Almanac told me so!).

 

[Brandon Sullivan]

just if anyone cares I have started a thread on the event..

 

[rdale]

that those 3 cold Aprils all had warm Mays.

Note I didn't say it was just a cold April... It was an April with extended and extreme below normal temps - the three worst were always followed by very warm May.

 

[Reed Timmer]

Well if this May is warm, it just as easily could be coincidence...and likely not because April experienced extreme cold...almost as statistically "reckless" as stating May will be warm because of global warming..

I haven't looked into it, but the midwest/northeast cold could be related to a shift in NAO phase...but there is negligible month-to-month predictability of the NAO. Since this is one of the coldest Aprils in history, it would be safe to say May will likely not be colder!

 

[Melissa Moon]

Note I didn't say it was just a cold April... It was an April with extended and extreme below normal temps - the three worst were always followed by very warm May.

Hehe I understood what you meant the first time . Extended and extreme below normal temps = cold. I still agree with Reed that there is no way to tell (unless you're just being superstitious) that May is going to be really warm just by looking at 3 extreme occurences. If it happens several more times, though, then it might be a claim that is really worth investigating.

 

[rdale]

Since this is one of the coldest Aprils in history, it would be safe to say May will likely not be colder!

I'll let it go since it's apparent this isn't progressing ;> Note though that I didn't say May would simply be warmer than April. I said it would be much warmer than _normal_ if the pattern continues.