Chase Case #4 (2010 Version)

[Jesse Risley]

There may be some delays in posting updates, as I'm finishing up some postgraduate projects this week.

SWODY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE SRN AND CNTRL
PLAINS THROUGH THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MS VALLEY...
LEE CYCLOGENESIS WILL BEGIN OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS....WITHIN REGION OF HEIGHT
FALLS ACCOMPANYING UPPER TROUGH. WARM FRONT WILL EXTEND EWD FROM THE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE...INTO THE MS VALLEY. THE LEE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE PROPAGATING EASTWARD....WITH TRAILING PACIFIC
FRONT EXTENDING INTO SRN PLAINS. THIS BOUNDARY IS PROGGED TO ADVANCE INTO THE MID
MISS VALLEY...WHILE THE SFC LOW OCCLUDES IN THE CNTRL PLAINS....STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES
WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.

----------------------------------------------------
00z (evening before) Data

250 mb
300 mb
500 mb
700 mb
850 mb
925 mb

radar (CONUS)
surface (CONUS)
surface (CONUS) - HPC
vis satellite (CONUS)

Enjoy!

 

[Verne Carlson]

Nice negative tilt trough coming in. Not great moisture but ample. I'd be still in Denver, CO and ready for the morning data before heading east of the surface low. Tomorrow might be a chase day in western, KS or the panhandles.

 

[Bob Hartig]

I'll overnight in Hastings, NE, and see what the morning brings.

 

[Connor Keef]

Since it is a shorter drive, I'll chase the dryline tomorrow and head towards Duncan, OK in the morning.

 

[Dean Baron]

I'll spend the night in Hays, KS and take a look at the morning data.

 

[Danny Neal]

Going to head west to invade Hotel Bennett on 80 to Omaha and wait for morning data.

 

[Patrick Martin]

I'll start in Dodge City, KS. Dryline or warm front....hmmmm....let the morning data show the way.

 

[CZandbergen]

Leaving Tulsa tonight for the short drive to ICT.

 

[Alec.Jones]

I think I will Drive to Pratt, KS and review the models in the morning

 

[Marcus Diaz]

Will be playing the dryline most likely. Especially if a dryline bulge looks to be forming. I'm sleeping in my own bed in Amarillo, TX. Chasers are welcomed to crash here, and we can hit up the Big Texan to do breakfast right

 

[Chad Moore]

Leaving my home tonight in Colorado for a 4 hour drive to McCook, NE. Expecting high base supercells by noon tomorrow in NE colorado. Trying to position myself at the apex of the warm sector and follow it east tomorrow until the warm sector scoops up the surface moisture a bit further east. I may be too far north, but hoping the low lifts a bit.

 

[Andy Jackson]

I'm gonna give an initial starting point of Lincoln, NE I like the I-80 for east/west driving options.

 

[Nick Nolte]

I shall start in Salina, KS and await more datas!

 

[Wesley Luginbyhl]

I will stop in Dodge City, KS for the night and see what the morning data brings. Not sure yet if i want to play the dryline to the south or the low to the north.

 

[Ryan Orlando]

I shall start out the night at Oakley, KS. I love the dynamics being set up for tomorrow with the strong LLJ coming into the plains and strong upper-level low that will charge its way eastward slowly. Let the fun begin!