May 16 NHC forecast:
Tropical Storms: 12-15
Hurricanes: 7-9
Major Hurricanes: 3-5
70% prob of above normal, 20% prob of normal, 10% prob of below normal
August 2 NHC forecast:
Tropical Storms: 18-21
Hurricanes: 9-11
Major Hurricanes: 5-7
95-100% prob of above normal
May 31 Dr. Gray (CSU) forecast:
Tropical Storms: 15
Hurricanes: 8
Major Hurricanes: 4
August 1 Dr. Gray (CSU) forecast:
Tropical Storms: 20
Hurricanes: 10
Major Hurricanes: 6
ACTUAL (to 10-25-05 19z):
Tropical Storms: 22
Hurricanes: 12
Major Hurricanes: 6
Landfalling (discounting island landfalls) named storms: Arlene (FL), Bret (Mexico), Cindy (Yucatan as TD, Louisiana), Dennis (FL), Emily (Yucatan, mainland Mexico), Gert (Mexico), Jose (Mexico), Katrina (FL, LA, MS), Rita (LA), Stan (Yucatan, mainland Mexico), Tammy (FL), Vince (first ever recorded tropical cyclone to make landfall in Spain), Wilma (Yucatan, FL)
Note that there may be a new tropical cyclone in the southwestern Caribbean by Thursday, then we have the rest of the year. Note that, during the past 2 year, there have been 3 named storms that extended beyond the official end of the season.
