Rainfall Correlated to Severe Storms in April?

[Mike Smith]

Because of the worldwide grain shortage combined with the reduced U.S. yields (due to drought) the last two years, I've been keep up with the moisture situation on my blog because I have many farmers and agribusinesspeople who visit.

Some believe that severe storms are directly correlated to April-May-June rainfall in the central Plains. If so, there is reason for chasers to be encouraged. See: http://meteorologicalmusings.blogspot.com/2013/03/farm-belt-moisture-update.html

The U.S. model goes out another week beyond what I have posted and it shows heavy rain in KS-OK from May 1 to 9 -- for what that is worth.

 

[STexan]

My understanding is that deep soil moisture (or lack of) that results from the winter/spring rain/snow fall can provide additional evapotranspiration fuel for spring storm systems. I may be wrong and may even be using the incorrect terminology but I'm hopeful the last several significant winter storm systems that have marched across the plains will help later with additional moisture fuel for storms.

 

[Jeff Duda]

Greg Carbin at SPC has been experimenting with products from the CFS to determine if longer term severe weather forecasts can be made. He's prepared this cool website page to view CFS forecasts and see how it trends. Link: http://wxvu.net/spc/cfs/index.php

 

[Michael Snyder]

Because of the worldwide grain shortage combined with the reduced U.S. yields (due to drought) the last two years, I've been keep up with the moisture situation on my blog because I have many farmers and agribusinesspeople who visit.

Some believe that severe storms are directly correlated to April-May-June rainfall in the central Plains. If so, there is reason for chasers to be encouraged. See: http://meteorologicalmusings.blogspot.com/2013/03/farm-belt-moisture-update.html

The U.S. model goes out another week beyond what I have posted and it shows heavy rain in KS-OK from May 1 to 9 -- for what that is worth.

Been watching this scenario myself.
Gotta love the drenching rain from KS , all of Okie and Into Texas today