• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

North Texas Spring Tornado Outlook

Randy Jennings

Supporter
Joined
May 18, 2013
Messages
794
We’re off to a stormy start to 2017, so let the media “tornado outlooks” begin. This one comes from NBC 5 in DFW, who appear to think they are going to get to use their new radar toys a lot this year:

“The number of people killed by tornadoes over the weekend was more than the total number of people killed by tornadoes in all of 2016…In North Texas we have had a few rounds of severe weather this year, but nothing to this magnitude. On Jan. 2, strong storms moved through during the morning hours with 60 mph winds. Jan. 15, a large supercell produced brief tornadoes in Bosque, Hill, Johnson, Tarrant and Dallas counties. It is too soon to tell, but it could be an active severe weather year for North Texas. The reason: La Niña.”

NBC 5 goes on to cite the 2015 John Allen, Michael Tippett, and Adam Sobel study published in Nature Geoscience and shows graphs that show tornado and hail frequencies for the spring months (March-May) during El Niño and La Niña.

You can see the full NBC 5 story at: http://www.nbcdfw.com/weather/stories/North-Texas-Spring-Tornado-Outlook-411525145.html

To be fair to NBC 5, they do say it is “too soon to tell” and they do go into more detail regarding the study than a lot of media reports do. But NBC 5 leaves out a very important detail – NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts “a transition to ENSO-neutral is expected to occur by February, with ENSO-neutral continuing through the first half of 2017.”
 
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