Ignorance of few affect the many

The next thing you knew there it was behind you on 11. It was still a safe distance behind us, enough to stop a couple times, but not for long. It didn't move NE off the road and we only then noticed the rapid meso catching up to our position, lots of traffic streaming by (and taking that into account now as an escape risk), and how truely fast the storm was moving. We blasted south and got lucky with a dirt road 5 miles east of Hwy 132? in great condition.

Just wanted to highlight these; as you do your postmortem on what went wrong, remember that the 60mph storm motions were progged on every model that morning and were called out in the warning text issued by the NWS. Obviously, you weren't a safe distance from the storm; you just assumed that you were, likely because you ignored or were not aware of a crucial piece of datum that was widely available the morning of the event (and was hinted at in the GFS and WRF at least two days out).

When computing safe intercept and escape vectors, ignoring the velocity of the tornado can result in some pretty inaccurate (and potentially dangerous) miscalculations. Also, assuming that your maximum chase intercept/escape velocity is only limited by your car's maximum speed is assuming a best case scenario, which seems a tad optimistic on a High Risk chaser convergence day. Lastly, not accounting for a potential right turn (which as you known supercells do all the time) can lead to a real nasty surprise if your storm decides to bee-line for you on the East/West highway you're on.
 
I was thinking in 10 years there will probably be 100+ storm chasing tours. How many do we have now? I bet we have at least 20 tour companies and more start up every year. There will probibaly be another close call or disaster with a storm chasing tour in the future. Some tours may be run by people who do not care what we think and like getting close. If people decide not to join a tour because they are afraid of getting hit it may happen. I think anyone running a tour will just have to accept they may lose 1 or 2 customers. I seriously doubt tours will lose more than a few customers. If people want to see a tornado bad enough they will still pay for a tornado and most people that do pay want to see a tornado bad enough that won't care about this one close call. How many people watch TWC? How many customers do you think heard about this? Nobody I know heard about it. By 2011 everyone will have forgotten about this anyways.

I am not saying what happened is no big deal but I don't feel losing a few customers because of this one close call will really hurt the tour companies in the long run. There will always be plenty of people wanting to see a tornado.

No please don't take my post the wrong way I just don't see the big deal here. Some people are making things sound worse then they probably are.
 
Gregg,

...As the meso approached, the appropriate action would have been to drop south a few miles and let it pass and then get in behind it.
Simply put....then why did you not do this?

...Nobody in the vehicle saw these vortices as they were behind the truck and to the north at about the 7:00 position and everyone was focused on the main tornado moving across the road
THIS IS NOT A TRUE STATEMENT. There is video from one from your guests from the back window CLEARLY showing the sub vorticy "floating" to the rear of you. And even if this were true then your people should not be out there if they are not going to pay attention to everything that is going on around them AT ALL TIMES!!!!!!

...After the windows broke, they remained on the side of the road as many other chasers raced by without one single person stopping to check on them.
Am I understanding that you are implying that you are a victim??
You have got to be kidding me Gregg.

...They attempted to move east to catch up with the first vehicle after the main meso passed but got caught in the rain and huge hail wrapping around. At that point, they pulled over and once we got in touch with them from the first vehicle after the storm was well off to the north and east, we went back and took care of things..
Again, THIS IS NOT A TRUE STATEMENT! "We can move on up if you all want" was the exact wording from your guide/driver.

...Although all the windows shattered, nobody was hurt except for a few small cuts...
Small cuts??? Greg, you are not being honest at all....if you are going to tell your side please have enough respect for not only me but this whole forum to be honest and not lie.


...In regards to the video on TWC, I explained to my clients, they can do what they want with their own video. Our tour did NOT and will NOT make any money or handle anything in regards to selling their video. This was the choice of the client. Contact was made to us and the client handled all the details. They asked for a credit and he used our tour name, instead of his own name...
Contact was not made to you first again, this is nothing more than a damn lie. You all (your guide) contacted TWC and informed them that "we have got great video of us getting hit by a tornado"

...In regards to all the comments about how stupid we were, I can understand. However, there were many, many cars on HWY 11 that day under the meso. Our first vehicle passed many of them, including TWC and tons of others. We were not the only ones on that road. It was completely random that we got the windows broken out and not the car behind or in front of our second truck...because there were cars all over the road. I understand we are operating a tour and should have remained further away, but we did not do anything different that many other chasers did that day....
Yes you did....you put your guest lives at a major risk and then tried to capitlize off of it with the video sales. YOU DID THAT. No one twisted your arm and made you drive straight towards a tornado, no made you stop along the side of the road, your guide did that to try and get video.

...In regards to other tours losing business because of this, are you telling me people that book tours to chase tornadoes don't expect some potential of danger?....
Greg, you should know the answer to that question already. Guests do know that there is some danger involved but getting hit by a tornado SHOULD NOT BE ONE OF THEM.

...this is not the case of us being stupid or not a good company, this is about a single event that should have been handled differently and will next time from our standpoint.?....
I have to respectfully have to disagree. This was caused by ignornace and a hasty decision to stop and get video on a tornadic storm that was moving in that direction at up to 55-60mph with people who either:
A) have no idea what they are really doing
B) Were not paying attention to all of their surroundings
Either way, it all points back to not having enough knowledge, not paying attention and or ignornace.

...We run tours because it allows us to interact with new people that have the same passion and to educate them on forecasting and chasing...
This comment makes me sick. I sincerely hope and pray that you have not been teaching your guests this type of chasing for the past 11 years.

Gregg, let's call a spade a spade... you have taken the postion that this situation was not your fault, you tried to blame it on other chasers to start with and then retracted that statement after the video was released. Now you seem pissed off that those same chasers who "caused" this didn't stop to help you. Then you say that your team just didn't see the tornado when clearly someone on your tour has video from the back. You then claim that you all had to stop as to not be run over when again, other chasers have video of you all stoping to try and shoot video. Frankly I do not understand why all the lies but most importantly I do not understand why you all felt the need to put your guests in such a position and under such danger?

And yes, we have lost business, one guest called and decided they(husband and wife) did not want to go becuase they saw the video on TWC a few times. This should not be hard to understand...where there is smoke there is usually fire and I can tell them a million times that we do not run our tours/business that way but as you should already know, if a picture says a thousand words, video tells tenfold.

It is with the utmost respect and sorrow for your guests when I say that I hope you and your team get the much additional training and support you so obviously need before you go back out again risking innocent lives. I do not care how many real "meteorologist" you have, they and you need addition support and real experience. I would much rather have real chasing experience than some degree setting on the wall when I am out there. Hopefully this will not happen again otherwise, the next time someone may get killed.

Best of luck.

Now, to address those who felt the need to bring Mr. Reed Timmer in this situation. I have no real idea how his name even got brought up but I find it very interesting that everytime someone has a close call it always goes back to Reed and how he is to blame in some way or another.
Reed is Reed...he is doing his own deal and has since he started. The biggest problem people have with him is that he is successfully bagging tornadoes event after event and people get jealous. Reed and company have taken that success and brought it to a whole new level...it's not like he reinvited the wheel. Reed and I have had a few phone conversations over the last few years, some know that he and I have even had an issue with each other regarding a video sale and TVN streaming but c'mon people, he is just a regular guy that has made a good name for himself doing what he loves to do. Some have even called him a sellout....if you are making even a small income doing what you love and know how to do it is not being a sellout, it's called living the dream.

Frankly I am so tired of people blaming Reed for other peoples actions. People get close because they want to and just as Greeg did with his tour, no one twisted his arm to do so. He and his guide did it becuase the wanted to. If you play with a snake long enough it will bite you. Gregg just got bit....it is unfortuante that it was during a tour.
 
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I chased around Norman on may 10th. I had a friend with me who has decided to be my chase partner. She is learning, taking storm spotter classes, etc. but ultimately I feel responsible for her. We had to back off the storms moving at warp speed Monday because it dawned on me that I had someone else's life at stake, not just mine! What a scary thought. I felt it was best to miss the tornado than to jeopardize the life of a friend!
 
Simple statement:

If any individual puts the pursuit of a close tornado above and ahead of the safety of other individuals riding in the car with you, especially Joe Public who does not have enough experience to know what the ____ is going on anyway and has put total trust in you, you have absolutely and completely no ____ business being out in the field with others. Chase by yourself if you don't care about lives but darn it all, the first priority if you have others with you is NOT THE STORM but the lives of your fellow persons riding with you. If your first priority is the storm and not your fellow humankind, chase alone, though id rather not see you on the field at all if that's your position.

If any tour puts safety as secondary to the close encounter of a tornado, that tour should be shut down. Let the driver chase by himself but he should have no right leading others to a dangerous situation, EVER.

Enough said from me.
 
Lanny, it seems (to me atleast) that you are really trying to capitalize on this event. Of course the safety of the tourists should be the #1 priority, I really doubt f5! runs their chasing tours "dangerously" or "carelessly". They made an obvious mistake and they need to learn from it. There's no question about that. You don't need to be the "chase tour police" and critique every little move that they made on May 10th. What happened happened and that's all.
Do I think we should all boycott F5! by telling everyone we know to never use them so the company loses buisness because of this one event? NO!

One thing that I do know Lanny, is that your demeanor with this thread and your blatant rudeness makes me more disgusted with "Extreme Chase Tours" than with "F5!". I think you need to tone it down a bit.
But what do I know? I'm just a guy that hasn't chased for 10+ years so I'm just out of my league and have no idea what I'm talking about...
 
I have a feeling the mods are going to shut this down soon it's getting out of hand quickly...

Bottom line is we can all learn from this....

1. As much as we know about storms, tornadoes, and meteorology, weather can still be unpredictable and we always need to be prepared for the worst.

2. Sooner or later there are going to be chaser deaths... We do need to continue to spread the wisdom that uneducated chasing is extremely dangerous, and at the same time help people who maybe are nothing more than amateur fans find the proper channels to learn and grow so they can become more than just weather enthusiasts....

3. We live in a world that is fixated on tragedy. Any time a new earthquake, plane crash, terrorist attack, or other world phenomenon hits,everyone fixates their eyes on CNN, FOX, or whatever news station they can find. This has hit the storm chasing realm as of late with (albeit solid coverage) new TWC storm coverage. This means chasing is going to continue to grow and more and more were going to see congested areas around storms... It may get to the point where you might need to take the # of chasers in the area under consideration when chosing a chasing target....



The growth in interest in meteorology and tornadoes is a good thing, but it doesn't come without it's own set of problems, we just have to be proactive about them....
 
Lanny, it seems (to me atleast) that you are really trying to capitalize on this event. Of course the safety of the tourists should be the #1 priority, I really doubt f5! runs their chasing tours "dangerously" or "carelessly". They made an obvious mistake and they need to learn from it. There's no question about that. You don't need to be the "chase tour police" and critique every little move that they made on May 10th. What happened happened and that's all.
Do I think we should all boycott F5! by telling everyone we know to never use them so the company loses buisness because of this one event? NO!

One thing that I do know Lanny, is that your demeanor with this thread and your blatant rudeness makes me more disgusted with "Extreme Chase Tours" than with "F5!". I think you need to tone it down a bit.
But what do I know? I'm just a guy that hasn't chased for 10+ years so I'm just out of my league and have no idea what I'm talking about...

I honestly had the same general impressions.

I don't think it was anybody's intentions to get caught up in a vortex or RFD. Should more caution and consideration have been given? Absolutely. I'm sure F5! has learned a valuable lesson and will go forward with it in mind.

Ultimately, I don't see how any great business would be affected by this isolated incident. Potential customers need to realize that tour groups are separate entities of each other and one groups' thinking is not the same as the others'. Something F5! does has no bearing or impact for what Extreme Chase Tours does. They are run by different individuals with different strategies and setups. To say that this incident will affect the industry as a whole is a bit of an exaggeration. If a buy a hamburger from McDonalds and I get sick from it, does that mean all hamburger joints are now corrupt? Will it ultimately mean I'm never gonna eat a fast-food burger again? Don't think so.

I think some people here need to pipe down a bit and stop putting things out of proportion.

I do agree however that Reed Timmer is NOT someone to be pointing fingers at. He's earned whatever he's wanted to do, with lots of experience and his own money. People need to bare some own responsibility and stop trying to blame others on a Discovery tv series for actions that are simply not their fault.
 
How many times do I have to make myself clear...the reference to Reed was not about him being at fault...its a change in chasing itself. The finger is not pointed at Reed...but he can't be blameless in terms of his effect of chasing. He chose to be involved in television shows which acted to propel that method of chasing to the forefront (as I said before there is no problem in my mind with that mode of chasing, given the precautions he takes...see post 30...he deserves everything he gets...and again, repeatedly I put out Reed is just an example of that particular method of chasing). I merely tried to point out that perhaps this incident had something to do with a FUNDAMENTAL CHANGE IN STORMCHASING MENTALITY, rather than being due to negligence or foolishness. What people do is based on their own set of morals, but humans imitate...and copy because once the mental barriers are down the common sense fails. Perhaps I am wrong, but its a valid possibility.

Lanny, have you considered taking the bar...as that is one hell of a cross-examination? I will be intrigued to hear the tours response if it gets here, given if these allegations are true then this company is definitely in the wrong.

Some points on this though:
Clearly the people leading that particular tour did not have sufficient experience to be dealing with the situation:
- Storm motion was predicted well out, warned by the NWS and everything else...storms were fast, and had huge potential in terms of development speed rotation and tornadoes...no tour should have place the lives of their patrons at risk especially when they had the opportunity to get out. If it was an F2 we wouldn't be talking about the injuries but potentially deaths due to negligence...feasibly this could carry manslaughter charges.

- If those operating the vehicle did not see the second meso or centre of rotation or whatever then what were they doing? They are there to be observing the safety of the situation around them as well as keeping them in the best position...if they were fixated on the first tornado then this is again negligent behaviour...it doesnt take much effort to scan the nearby sky...even using peripheral vision.

- The victim statement you have made is quite peturbing to me, one question that springs to mind is "Are chasers becoming more self-centred and storm focussed, and therefore less willing to help out?" This naturally only applies if the above statement is a true factual record.
 
For every breakdown, there is a breakthrough. The bigger the breakdown, the bigger the breakthrough.
Let's look for the breakthrough. What can be learned from this experience? How may we then teach greater safety to others?
Tornado chasing is dangerous, end of story. Weather can turn on a dime, and other dangers such as huge hail and unexpected flash floods add to the dangers.
When I started my tour back in 1995, which I ran for 10 years until I burned out, the attorney who drew up my legal waiver told me that nobody would insure my company. If I were lucky I could get Lloyds of London to offer super high priced insurance.
This speaks to the danger involved. Most of us chasers are adults who need to be aware of the dangers - or be made aware.
This event could if discussed scientifically perhaps lead to greater insight and resultant safety.
 
Just wanted to highlight these; as you do your postmortem on what went wrong, remember that the 60mph storm motions were progged on every model that morning and were called out in the warning text issued by the NWS. Obviously, you weren't a safe distance from the storm; you just assumed that you were, likely because you ignored or were not aware of a crucial piece of datum that was widely available the morning of the event (and was hinted at in the GFS and WRF at least two days out).

When computing safe intercept and escape vectors, ignoring the velocity of the tornado can result in some pretty inaccurate (and potentially dangerous) miscalculations. Also, assuming that your maximum chase intercept/escape velocity is only limited by your car's maximum speed is assuming a best case scenario, which seems a tad optimistic on a High Risk chaser convergence day. Lastly, not accounting for a potential right turn (which as you known supercells do all the time) can lead to a real nasty surprise if your storm decides to bee-line for you on the East/West highway you're on.

Anyone who is experienced in chasing and knows anything more than nothing about severe weather should know at least two things:

1) The NORTH side of the mesocyclone on a cyclonic supercell in the Northern Hemisphere is a bad place to be, especially on days where conditions are so volatile. You have the FFD with blinding rain and huge hail on one side, and a powerful cyclonic circulation/meso/TC/tornado with associated multiple vortices and RFD winds on the other side, and tornadoes have shown some tendency to weave left towards the ends of their lives (see, for example, the tracks in this image: http://addins.kwwl.com/blogs/weather/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/apr-3-tornado-map1.jpg). Given an outward moving outflow boundary, being north of the meso puts you in a squeeze play that can be very dangerous.

2) Cyclonic supercells in the Northern Hemisphere tend to turn right, especially when they are tornadic.

I'm not saying anyone failed to remember either of these points, but I think it goes without saying that such a reminder is appropriate.
 
....

I am pretty sure the next evolution of storm chasing will be individuals placing themselves in the direct path of tornadoes. Remember that guy who made the grizzly bear-proof suit of armor?

Stay tuned!

Warren

Yeah, and there was another guy that made a suit that was shark proof. He even got in the water and tried to agitate a shark into biting him. The suit was made of very small link metal chain...

It's sort of human nature isn't it, to flirt with danger? I mean to be all safe and stuff all the time is just weird. Kids still know how to have fun, when mom ain't lookin anyway.

I actually can't wait to see what someone will come up with next, and what all the future holds. There's bound to be some wealthy adrenaline junky somewhere making another intercept vehicle of some kind. Maybe once inside you could hit a button to eject... then once you got out of the updraft and gravity took over, you could parachute back down.

Maybe there will be tour vans built like tanks only better and their sole purpose will be to get inside a tornado... man I can't think of nothing better than that. Might consider going on one then.


Josh
 
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