Dissipated Barry Discussion Thread

[Justin Allen]

 

[Justin Allen]

Track has moved east slightly.

 

[Dan Robinson]

The forecast landfall location of this storm is marshy lowland, devoid of infrastructure. Looks risky with any surge, even for a Cat 1. Nearby Cameron was moonscaped by Rita in 2005. Morgan City is a miniature version of New Orleans, kept dry by a ring of levees/floodwalls and always at risk for flooding from the Atchafalaya even on a good day. That being said, Morgan City is probably a decent option in this case, though flooding may be an issue for getting out afterward.

 

[Justin Allen]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1149312409779298309

 

[rdale]

That's pretty far from the center - not a sign of organization...

 

[Justin Allen]

And we have Barry!

 

[Justin Allen]

12z GFS

 

[Dan Robinson]

NOLA threat seems more serious than many in that area are appreciating. With the high Mississippi stages, the risk for levee overtopping with more than minor surge is concerning.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1149358153458429952

 

[Justin Allen]

 

[Dan Robinson]

Quite a strange appearance to this storm at/near landfall due to the mesovortex structures in the broader circulation. Hard to pick out where the center is - radar makes it appear farther inland than it really is.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1150059504077328384