NEW TOR WATCH issued now.
I normally am not very inquisitive concerning how forecasts are handled by the Storm Prediction Center, but last evening to this morning have raised some questions. The following is NOT a derogatory statement toward the Storm Prediction Center. It is an honest request for answers on things I apparently do not yet understand.
Last night, we had apparantly significant tornado activity which caused one fatality, and injured at least two individuals. Significant damage was reported in Iowa City, and tornado damage reports were common throughout much of SE Iowa from evening continuing to morning. Several large supercell thunderstorms had mesos, and reports of large tornadoes were coming in that were spotter-confirmed.
All during this event, the watches remained as severe thunderstorm watches despite more than 2 supercell thunderstorms with mid and low level rotation, strong couplets and confirmed wall clouds, funnels and tors that threatened populated areas.
Finally this morning at around 1:50, a new Tornado Watch was issued for the same storms farther east, but long after the worst of the tornaodoes apparently occured.
I have every confidence that SPC did all they could and followed every guideline, and I applaud them for working as hard as they did. They do a superb job at what they do and not many can fill their shoes.
My question is: What lacked the SVR boxes to be upgraded to TOR boxes? what is it about the event that lacked the parameters and conditions for tornado watches? were tornado watches warranted? Was this a scenario where an MCS was simply not expected to go tornadic, or the tornadic storms were expected to die off but didnt? Was something askew about the whole event that caught even the most experienced forecasters by surprise?
Again, thank you SPC for all you do, this is not derogatory. I simply ask for answers because honestly, I am quite perplexed, and I dont know or not if I am the only one who has wondered this this morning.
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