• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

Severe likely to return to Plains or more likely, Midwest

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Matthew Crowther

Matthew Crowther

EF4
Joined
Aug 19, 2005
Messages
310
Location
Atlanta, GA
I have been looking at the trends in the medium range models for the past few days, and am encouraged by the signs- virtually all runs of the deterministic models such as the GFS, GEM, ECMWF etc have been advertising a large-scale pattern shift to a deep Rockies/West Coast trough/Eastern ridge pattern, and the ensembles are in very good agreement as well:

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/spa...ag_f192_nh.html

Also, the NAO, which has been negative recently, with resulting east coast troffiness, is forecast to switch:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/prec...ndex_ensm.shtml

So I expect more precip in the SW, with KFLG and KPHX getting the first significant precip of the season- then strong cyclogenesis in the Plains- with some severe weather likely, mainly from I-35 east by the middle to end of next week.

Matt
 
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