Chase Case #9

  • Thread starter Thread starter Paul Austin
  • Start date Start date
Well, based on my target, it's plausible that I would have gotten this...

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You gotta love warm fronts in the upper Midwest. I did not chase this date (I was 14 at the time), but I did chase a few weeks later in central MI -- which featured a classic supercell which rode a warm front across the state (from just north of GRR all the way into the Thumb) producing several tornadoes -- ingesting the strong boundary layer shear and rich low-level moisture which pooled up against the boundary.

I'm waiting for 2009... :)
 
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No Tornado for me. I hung out in SW Kansas until the Cap broke. Definately had a couple of well structured supercells with rotation, nothing dropped though. Lost a windshield with 2" hail near Dodge City.
 
Didn't follow this case the first time around (except sarcastically) ... so I didn't recognize it being the same. With that said, I would have dropped south out of Kearney and intercepted the hailers, likely. So, no tornado for me. :(
 
Well, my apologies to Sam Kennedy for stealing his case and re-posting it as my own, LOL. It would have saved me a ton of time to just copy all of his maps and paste the scenario verbatum. I'm glad some of you who missed it the first time around got in on it this time. Thanks again to everyone who participated. Because of the 'waiting game', this one presented challenges to anyone focusing on the dry line or dry line/warm front regions. Now to look at #10.
 
No tornadoes for me, either. Maybe some severe wind, that's about it. Should have blasted west to Cedar Rapids/Waterloo when I decided to stick in Peru, but not at all clear I would have made it in time even if I did. Didn't chase this one either in real life or Case 1.
 
I have no doubt I would have seen the Palo tornado considering it developed at 4:30pm and I was east of Newton, IA at 3pm. In one of my previous posts I mentioned how I would look for a storm that would anchor on the outflow boundary and drift southeast. That is exactly what the Palo storm did.

I have heard some people call the boundary in Iowa a warm front. Looking at a satellite loop you can see this boundary clearly originated from earlier convection, therefore it appears to be an outflow boundary.
 
Also, thanks for the case Paul. This was a lot fo fun, and it had its challenges. The outflow boundary made my decision to go to Iowa vs. staying in Nebraska and easy one. As my friend Justin Teague says, "Outflow boundaries are tornado racetracks."
 
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