Chase Case #5 (2010 Version)

[Josh VandenTop]

Put me in Enid, OK for the night.

 

[Bret Hendrickson]

Gonna stay in Fort Worth and await 12Z data. Probably will be heading west tomorrow.

 

[Marcus Diaz]

Anyone else want to grab a beer in Amarillo, TX with me? You can crash on my couch if you have a little too much

 

[Danny Neal]

Arnett, OK for me.... I am going to find the dirt road Reed was on and floor it in reverse while yelling back up, picturing a white tube was about to fling an oak tree through my windshield

 

[Joshua Nall]

Sleeping in my own bed tonight... Texarkana, AR. Should have time to check in with SPC.... no no no, wait.... I mean new data before I leave in the morning. lol I've never been a forecaster, but I have learned a little from some of yall over the last few years. Just read through case #4... first one I had read all the way through...Thought I'd see where I end up anyway. I could use some improvement on my real life day of the event decisions.

 

[cdcollura]

Tough NW flow event, obviously. I'll start near Enid, OK (for the night) and see what pans out tomorrow.

 

[Dann Cianca]

Found a nice bed and breakfast in Shattuck, Oklahoma, the Kirkpatrick House On The Hill. Looking forward to waking up and having a nice meal. See y'all in the mornin'.

 

[Ed Boik]

Start me out in Woodward, OK

I get the feeling that warm front is going to surge northward as a low drops out of CO and I'll have to play it through northern OK and southern KS. But I need more data.

 

[James Gustina]

I'll sit in Pratt, KS and wait for tomorrow.

 

[Zack Cooper]

Going to start in Tulia, TX and wait for more data to decide whether I need to move or not.

Doesn't look like a great setup... definitely tricky.

 

[Tom Dulong]

I'm starting out in Dodge City, KS with hope of playing the dry line tomorrow. Ahhh love the "nose candy" out here

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I'll position myself in Vernon, TX for the night. Hopefully, less of a headache tomorrow.

 

[Dan Melby]

This will be fun! After a 7 hour drive I am gonna crash in Blackwell, OK for the night

 

[JeffGonzales]

Im going to hang out in Great Bend, KS

 

[Jesse Risley]

Guten Morgen virtual chasers!

A morning position of everyone's current location can be found here. Let me know where you're targeting today, after reviewing the morning suite of data, and I'll update the icons accordingly. It's now 13z, which means it's time to grab some coffee, get the morning constitutional out of the way, perhaps down some comestibles, and potentially consider target revisions.

There will be another suite of surface and radar updates at approximately 16z.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
SPC 13z SWODY1 Summary

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE S PLAINS[FONT=&quot]

[/FONT]DISCUSSION....CO SEWD TO OK AND E/SEWD TO MID MS VLY...NUMEROUS SVR TSTMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT…..H5 WIND MAX AT 55-60 KT WILL DEVELOP SEWD…DURING THE DAY AND ENHANCE DEEP LAYER ASCENT AND T-STRM DEVELOPMENT ALONG QUASI STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE FROM NE CO…WRN KS...AND INTO OK. SFC-6KM SHEAR PROFILES…& AMPLE SFC-3KM SRH WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL….DAMAGINGWINDS AND TORNADOES. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE INTO A LARGE MCS DURING THE LATE EVENING WITH SVR THREAT CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

13z Surface Data
National Satellite/Surface Composite
Basic Surface - Central Plains
Denver, CO Regional (DEN)
Wichita, KS Regional (ICT)
Austin, TX Regional (AUS)

12z Upper Air Data
250 mb UA obs
300 mb UA obs
500 mb UA obs
700 mb UA obs
850 mb UA obs
925 mb UA obs

12z Rawinsonde Data
Albuquerque, NM (ABQ)
Amarillo, TX (AMA)
Dodge City, KS (DDC)
Denver, CO (DNR)
Dallas/Ft. Worth, TX (FWD)
North Platte, NE (LBF)
Lamont, OK (LMN)
Little Rock, AR (LZK)
Midland, TX (MAF)
Omaha, NE (OAX)
Norman, OK (OUN)
Springfield, MO (SGF)
Topeka, KS (TOP)

13z Radar Data
National Radar Composite
Central Plains Composite
Southern Plains Composite

13z Visible Satellite Imagery
National Satellite Imagery
Wichita, KS Regional Composite (ICT)