Big Tornado Day 2005

Okay.. a chance to labor a guess as to what day(s) will be the biggest tornado days.. for example, this year.. May 12, May 24, May 29...

Here, you are to predict the exact day and general location of 2005's biggest tornado day. Obviously we'll look back on this over the course of next season to see if anyone was right.

May 17, 2005 - North-Central Oklahoma
 
What defines the "biggest tornado days"? An outbreak with >45 tornadoes? >20 tornadoes? What about lone awesome supercell that drops 4 high-contrast naders? Just seeking a bit of clarification before I make my guess... :)
 
Well, since I'm out here in Illinois, and dont really care when the big plains outbreak is...I'm gonna take a stab at Illinois' big day...which I will place at May 8th, and May 20th.

As for a plains thingy, I'll throw May 17th out there.
 
June 3, 2005, Grand Island, NE....it will be, afterall, the 25th anniversary of the event which inspired one of the cheesy tornado movies of the mid 90's. :)

Regards,

Mike
 
What defines the "biggest tornado days"? An outbreak with >45 tornadoes? >20 tornadoes? What about lone awesome supercell that drops 4 high-contrast naders? Just seeking a bit of clarification before I make my guess... :)

Basically a day in the sense of amazing chasing; one that will be talked about for a while. Not so much 100 tornadoes, but a day where a Supercell gives up 7 gorgeous tornadoes, a day when multiple supercells drop three dozen, those types. Basically days like the ones I mentioned where for one reason or another, they were huge chasing days.
 
biggest day anywhere in country: april 29th 2005.

biggest day locally, michigan, june 17th 2005.

Biggest surprise day, which means nothing big is forecasted but in the end happens, july 7th. Hey, if i forecast this and it turns out to be right, ha ha, would that mean it wasn't a surprise :?:
 
I knew that magic 8 ball would come in handy some day! :lol:

May 8th, 2005. Super outbreak running from N. Central Texas up through Central OK. Most destructive to hit Childress, Texas. Moore is not in the line of fire for this one. 8)
 
May 21, 2005. I'll be in Oklahoma at this point in time. SPC has high risk from northern texas to nebraska. By the end of the day 85 tornados occur with 3 F5s, 10 F4s, and 11 F3s. Moore is once again wiped off the map and never rebuilt :shock:
 
May 28th, 2005

I see 21 tornadoes for my 21st birthday! SPC issues moderate risk for eastern Kansas, then upgrades later in the day to high risk and tornadoes drop from the dryline, moving slow enough just like the Russell, Kansas event (anybody say 8 miles per hour?)
 
2005 Biggest Tornado Drought in History
Many chasers put on 24 hr suicide watch.
Warren Faidley has to file for unemployment.
EBay crashes due to influx of XM systems,camcorders and scanner equipment.
Oklahoma chaser found brutally beaten after forecast he made on stormtrack fourm in 2004 comes true!

Ok just kidding, I sure hope something gives here in Oklahoma next spring I really don't like having to drive to Neb and Kansas to see storms :lol:
 
Charles you do know that if you're prediction comes true, watch out. :wink: :p

Any time between May 12th and 22nd. But let's go with May 16th, NC Kansas.
 
May 27th Central Nebraska (the first date and location that popped in my head....stranger things have happened)
 
March 16th, medium outbreak, AL into GA and SC.

Multiple F3+ May 11th, west TX into south OK; major outbreak, May 23rd, central - northeast KS into southeast NE - west IA - northern MO.
 
I'll also throw May 29th out there. I graduate from highschool that day...thus, won't be chasing...and it seems great things always happen when I have an important commitment I cant get out of...
 
I predict a repeat of 1988, the worst year in the history of chasing! :twisted:

(well, we ARE overdue for another really crappy year)
 
I predict a repeat of 1988, the worst year in the history of chasing! :twisted:

(well, we ARE overdue for another really crappy year)

I thought 2002 was regarded as a "really crappy year" by the majority of chasers? There was the June SD day, and the Happy TX day, but other than that, I didn't think there was much at all...

I'm guessing the first day with an F3 or greater will be April 16th... The first High Risk day will be May 2nd...
 
I predict a repeat of 1988, the worst year in the history of chasing! :twisted:

(well, we ARE overdue for another really crappy year)

I thought 2002 was regarded as a "really crappy year" by the majority of chasers? There was the June SD day, and the Happy TX day, but other than that, I didn't think there was much at all...

I'm guessing the first day with an F3 or greater will be April 16th... The first High Risk day will be May 2nd...

It was for some people, others did fairly well. There were storms to get on, if not high tornado counts. 1988 however it was hard to even get a storm with huge freakin ridge in place. Seems like eastern CO or maybe it was KS had a few days some people got some stuff, but from what I have gathered post mortem it pretty much sucked for EVERYONE. I think Tim V. was very active around that time, he prob has a better memory than I do about it. It was a long time ago and I was still very much a young "storm tracker" (what me and my buddy called ourselves back then. Storm Chaser wasn't a term widely used), but it sticks in my mind as being a horrible, discouraging year.
 
The biggest outbreak next year will be on October 8.....there will be 78 tornadoes from OK to IA.

At least I think that's the day my 10 yr HS reunion will be......
 
March 18, MO-IL-IN-OH-KY-TN — a once-in-80-years event. (Keep the gas tank full; you may be driving for a while.)
 
I'll also throw May 29th out there. I graduate from highschool that day...thus, won't be chasing...and it seems great things always happen when I have an important commitment I cant get out of...

I've had tornado days in 1997, 2001, and 2004 on that date. Sounds good to me 8)
 
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