Am I missing something here?

Joined
Feb 29, 2004
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Location
Rochester Hills, Michigan, United States of Americ
I read this in the NWSFO Austin:

WE ARE NOW HEADING INTO THE LAST PART OF THIS PROLONGED RAIN AND
SEVERE EL NINO EVENT WITH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING IN TWO AREAS. STORMS
OVER CENTRAL SECTIONS ARE A RESULT OF LOW LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT
WHILE ACTIVITY IN SW TX HAS FORMED IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LOW
APPROACHING FROM WRN NM. GFS WILL BE MODEL OF CHOICE TODAY...THOUGH
THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS NE AND A BIT FASTER THAN GFS.

What do they mean by "SEVERE EL NINO EVENT"? I know what EL NINO is, but are they trying to directly relate it to this rain event, or are they refering to this rain event as an EL NINO? I'm lost, LOL
 
I never read AFDs, they're too subjective and often paint a confusing picture to the overall severe potential in a region. The cool thing about this is you learn what offices are pessimistic and which ones are optimistic. Two of the greatest examples of these extremes are OUN and TUL.
 
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