Jason Harris
EF5
Slight risk today Brevard and Osceola counties south. Limiting factors are moisture and lack of daytime heating because of all these pesky showers.
Helicity might be enough for some rotating storms later in afternoon/early evening anyway. Looks like living further south in FL might mean more potential in general today. Dominant mode will be squall line coming from W/SW but
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html"A FEW OF THE MORE PERSISTENT STORMS
MAY BE SUPERCELLULAR WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR ISOLATED
TORNADOES" And the bigger setup is the low in the Gulf with the upper level west winds while the moisture at lower levels is from the south, so got that vertical wind shear though more veering than backing expected later.
Might get some bows too.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=MLB&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
*mesoscale discussion now, watch possible, dewpoints in the 60s:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0063.html
Helicity might be enough for some rotating storms later in afternoon/early evening anyway. Looks like living further south in FL might mean more potential in general today. Dominant mode will be squall line coming from W/SW but
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html"A FEW OF THE MORE PERSISTENT STORMS
MAY BE SUPERCELLULAR WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR ISOLATED
TORNADOES" And the bigger setup is the low in the Gulf with the upper level west winds while the moisture at lower levels is from the south, so got that vertical wind shear though more veering than backing expected later.
Might get some bows too.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=MLB&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
*mesoscale discussion now, watch possible, dewpoints in the 60s:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0063.html
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