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10/17/07 NOW: TX/OK/KS/MO/AR/NE

Adam Lucio

Adam Lucio

EF5
Joined
Nov 18, 2006
Messages
1,241
Location
Chicago, IL
Perhaps this is a bit early to start this but...

Is anyone watching KAMA...two twin, very impressive looking sups have formed just south of the radar site, both with suggestive hook echoes/inflow notches on their SW ends, TVS and meso on the left storm, right storms core was as high as 71dbz in earlier scans. I would'nt be surprised to see a warning go up soon, I hope everyone has their NOAA radios on standby, its only 12 minutes into Wednesday and things are starting already!
 
Both storms have tornado warnings now. This is a real tough call, with great-looking hook echoes and intense low level mesocyclones, but it's not obvious whether these are surface based. Judging by their relatively slow movement right of the mean flow, they just might be! The RUC has been hinting at very small surface-based inhibition all the way through the night into tomorrow, for what it's worth, so this may get more interesting tonight than we thought.
 
Adam Lucio said:
Perhaps this is a bit early to start this but...

Is anyone watching KAMA...two twin, very impressive looking sups have formed just south of the radar site, both with suggestive hook echoes/inflow notches on their SW ends, TVS and meso on the left storm, right storms core was as high as 71dbz in earlier scans. I would'nt be surprised to see a warning go up soon, I hope everyone has their NOAA radios on standby, its only 12 minutes into Wednesday and things are starting already!
Click to expand...

indeed...those are some crazy storms...

you go back a few loops, and there is a crazy hook, and those SRV couplets stand out like a sore thumb...

i sure wouldent want to be in the path of those things...plus, look at the speed of the storm movement!

i would be concerned for motorists on I-27 right about now...
 
95 kts of shear on lowest SR velocity on the recent AMA scan on the western cell. A strong enough meso can produce enough convergence to force surface based parcels into the updraft so it's possible that these cells are making up the lack of instability with the incredible amount of SR Helicity and deep layer shear.

This marks the beginning of my armchair chasing from Houston, TX. I'm on the night shift so a little excitement makes the time pass. I won't know what to do with myself tomorrow as the severe event unfolds :(:(:(
 
Amazing cells if your out of KAMA right now on GR3. Cells C0 and G0 look juicy. Dew points east of the cells are in the mid 60's, which is just off the cap rock. I been watching a ob out of Tulia, winds about an hour ago were only 10kts out of the SE, now there at 25 kts gusting to 32kt. If these storms get off the cap rock or start sucking in that moisture, these storms might go all night!

I'm watching these and waiting for SPC day 2 for chicago area! I think i might be coming down with the cough cough flu!
 
Currently sitting at home here in Booker, TX (NE TX Panhandle) watching the storm that is racing to the northeast at over 60 mph. This storm is in northern Hutchinson County and should be approaching southern Ochlitree. Storm is heading into a more sheared enviroment with higher helicity values in the northeast panhandle. If this storm can slow down a bit and get its act together, I will be heading out the door to Perryton.

Storms down south are just too far south for me. The western storm is getting swallowed up by other storms. Eastern storm still looks impressive. Strong rotation southeast of Canyon. Most Rotation looks to be in the mid-levels.
 
Yea, I've been watching the crazy nocturnal supercells too. SPC Mesoanalysis shows 1000 J/kg of SBCAPE where there was virtually none mere hours ago. Impressive values of 75 J/kg of 0-3 km MLCAPE now showing a favorable environment for surface based activity. Geez, by looking at the rapidly increasing instability and eroding CINH, you would think it was early afternoon in the TX panhandle! LI of -6 after midnight? Just sick! And this is just the start of 72 hours of severe storms.

That supercell south of Canyon, TX is really starting to break away from the cluster, it could be a powerhouse.

EDIT: Weird how the tornado warnings are not showing up on my GRLevel3...
 
Theyre not showing up on mine either...

I guess they went out before I even made the 1st post, once I read the text off the NWS website.

NOW IS NOT THE TIME FOR GR3 MALFUNCTIONS!:eek:

Western storm looking to be the main storm right now...right one appeares to have become embedded, if it [the west storm] could make the lovely right turn it could become a lone monster! Its making the most out of the 65TDs thats for sure. SRV looking better on all levels.
 
Very nice theta ridge poking up towards the Palo Duro Canyon area. This nasty supercell east of Canyon should sustain until it moves over towards the Memphis-Wellington TX area where it may trend towards being elevated. Looks pretty serious with a very nice tight hook right now. Wow.
 
Really suprised that KAMA has not re-issued the Tornado Warning for the far western storm. Rotation seems to be mantaining itself, and if anything, getting better defined. Rotation seems to be heading right toward Claude.
 
I'm really starting to pay attention to the Storm that just moved into Ochlitree County,(northern most storm). It has been descrete during this whole event and it looks to be getting better organized. It is starting to show signs of a little mid-level rotation although it seems to be elevated.
 
BrandonWhittington said:
Currently sitting at home here in Booker, TX (NE TX Panhandle) watching the storm that is racing to the northeast at over 60 mph. This storm is in northern Hutchinson County and should be approaching southern Ochlitree. Storm is heading into a more sheared enviroment with higher helicity values in the northeast panhandle. If this storm can slow down a bit and get its act together, I will be heading out the door to Perryton.
Click to expand...
That storm is a fast-moving left-mover, and I wouldn't expect it to be anything other than a large hail threat.

BTW - those using GRX, use this warning server instead:

http://warnings.allisonhouse.com/
 
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