Karen Politte
EF5
I'll be up front here and say that I'm clutching at straws.....'cause I am. It's really the only way to keep from going into hibernation at this time of year, when you step out the door to temps in the 50s, dewpoints in the 30s and a Canadian airmass spilling down through the Plains.
Would anybody like to speculate about the severe potential for next Monday April 25th? The flow will be screwy up until then, but the ETA (today's 12Z isn't out yet) forecasts a trend to southwesterlies at 500mb come 0Z Tuesday 26th - centered around Wichita Falls. It forecasts a 999mb surface low out by CDS, too, by 12Z Monday.
The Gulf fetch is not-too-good-but-could-be-worse, and the models are consistent with breaking out precip across the southern Plains at this time.
Still very sketchy - but thought I'd open up this thread for anyone who wants to throw some ideas out there.
KR
Would anybody like to speculate about the severe potential for next Monday April 25th? The flow will be screwy up until then, but the ETA (today's 12Z isn't out yet) forecasts a trend to southwesterlies at 500mb come 0Z Tuesday 26th - centered around Wichita Falls. It forecasts a 999mb surface low out by CDS, too, by 12Z Monday.
The Gulf fetch is not-too-good-but-could-be-worse, and the models are consistent with breaking out precip across the southern Plains at this time.
Still very sketchy - but thought I'd open up this thread for anyone who wants to throw some ideas out there.
KR