2024-04-15 EVENT: NE/KS/OK

[Levi Mol]

Todays the day!!

 

[JamesCaruso]

Cell(s) exploding down near Big Spring. It will be very interesting to see if they rotate and what happens as they move NE. The game is afoot.

Looks like they’ve run into some cap suppression ?

 

[Warren Faidley]

Still 3 hours of shooting light, so the chase is still on. The sig. torn. parameters are nuts if something goes up, but the cloud cover is a problem. Maybe a retreating DL or a wave will set things off. There are cells trying to go up within the sig-tor outlook!

 

[Robert Rohloff]

Pretty good hail on the storm near Swenson TX with some rotation showing up now. Maybe we finally have something.

 

[Warren Faidley]

Here we go!

 

[JamesCaruso]

Interesting that an SPC meso discussion (#443) came out for NEB 4 hours ago, with a 95% probability of watch issuance. But a watch never materialized.

 

[Mike Smith]

About 15 minutes ago, a huge TCU floated northwest across ICT.

SPC has meso'd western Kansas: Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 448

 

[Mike Smith]

New Tornado Watch till 3a.

 

[Matt Zumbrunn]

Looks like they starting to go south of Garden City, KS

 

[Warren Faidley]

All's well that ends well.... so far. SVR storm passed within 29 miles of my original forecast in KCDS, so I'm OK with that. Don't think CAPE was sufficient enough to take advantage of / overcome sheer. Hard to guess what will occur later tonight and tomorrow, but danger still exists for nighttime tornadic storms. Congratulations to everyone who made the decision to stay put today.

 

[Matt Zumbrunn]

Storm approaching Dodge City is all by itself.

 

[Warren Faidley]

Timing on this storm is not good for DDC, hope it waits until it's north of the city to go tornadic.

 

[Matt Zumbrunn]

Timing on this storm is not good for DDC, hope it waits until it's north of the city to go tornadic.

Watching a chaser and he just said the structure is amazing. Living vicariously through others tonight.

 

[John Farley]

As of 10:45 p.m. Central time, there has not been one tornado warning anywhere in the US. There certainly could be tornadoes, maybe even strong ones, overnight, but from a storm chasing standpoint, this day has been a bust tornado-wise. Glad to hear some are seeing good structure, nonetheless.

 

[Dan Robinson]

I broke off of the DDC storm east of Jetmore. Didn't see anything interesting with it from the south/southeast. Dryline squall line to the west looks like it is trying to spin things up in several places, but I need time to sleep and get east for tomorrow.