• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

2025-04-28 EVENT: IA/KS/OK/MO/NE/MN/WI/IL

I hear you, but you will have a much better understanding of the granular details of a forecast if you look at the models yourself and then gets SPC’s take after you develop your own.

Also, SPC outlooks are designed for public safety, not designed for chasers. Monday’s event will definitely be a public safety risk. Whether it is chase-worthy is a different question that may not be adequately answered by their forecasts.
Agreed. I start looking at 48 hours for my own take, especially with a chase in mind. As for SPC, I tend to pay more attention to certain forecasters who I know are also chasers like Roger Edwards and Rich Thompson. Roger in particular tends to write very insightful outlooks.
 
Agreed. I start looking at 48 hours for my own take, especially with a chase in mind. As for SPC, I tend to pay more attention to certain forecasters who I know are also chasers like Roger Edwards and Rich Thompson. Roger in particular tends to write very insightful outlooks.

Agreed, but unfortunately for us Roger recently retired (sorry for OT post)
 
I spent way too much time yesterday trying to get a handle on the forecast. By the time I went to bed, I realized that we're going to see more activity across the moderate risk than what a computer model says. The windspeed of the jet max, trough, and other parameters provide plenty for severe convection before dark. This powerful setup could be chased in north-central Iowa. Start perhaps in Storm Lake, Iowa. ;)
 
When I was typing up the original post I had noted to myself that global models showed convection along much of teh dryline, even into west Texas, while the barely in-range NAM12k was showing basically nothing south of northern Iowa. So I'm not surprised to see the now in-range CAMs not overly enthusiastic with blowing up dryline convection. My understanding has been that the CAMs often struggle with dryline initiation. The SPC in today's day 2 has essentially addressed this, saying the CAM guidance "does not seem realistic considering the overall pattern."

That said, the 06Z HRRR shows some nighttime storms in NE Kansas in a favorable environment. It will be interesting to see how they handle this setup as it draws closer.

04 29 2025 02Z HRRR 06Z 04272025.png04 29 2025 02Z eastern KS.png
 

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