• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

State of the Chase Season 2025

As I mentioned in post #69, I was hoping my remote work setup would allow me to add a couple of shorter trips to the Plains, in between personal/family obligations, before and/or after my “core” longer trip scheduled from May 24 to about June 8. As (my) luck would have it, the week of April 21 is one of the weeks I *cannot* be out on the Plains, due to a board meeting I have to attend in Boston 😕
 
I'm not liking the continued presence of cold air in southern Canada shown by nearly all ensembles and operational models at the medium-far end of the long ranges. I'm no expert, but it seems from experience that persistent slugs of cold air at 850mb east of the Rockies in Canada tends to promote a long-term eastern troughing/Hudson Bay vortex pattern.
 
So I fed ChatGPT AAM/GWO forecast charts for analyses. Here is what is said:

Forecast Summary:

With the GWO cycling toward Phase 8, a modestly enhanced subtropical jet, and AAM positive anomalies in critical latitudes, the stage is set for a potential uptick in severe weather across the Central U.S. between April 22–May 2. The signal favors storm system ejection into the Plains, particularly if future mountain torques or MJO support aligns. While amplitude remains modest, forecasters should stay alert for short-range triggers within this favorable large-scale pattern.
 
Continued support for at least a somewhat favorable look as we push closer to the end of the month, there are signs of at least spurts of action across the month of May- the end of April also appearing quite favorable on ensembles.

Hopefully we come out with at least an average month for May. Certainly doesn’t seem all doom and gloom.
IMG_4693.jpeg
 
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Will be interesting to see if we can at least get some rainfall in the western sectors, even w/o SVR. Surface is impossible to forecast this far out, but some AI models are keeping the dryline too far east for me and trying to make unrealistic RH return between systems.
 
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